Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 05/09, 15:30

Prediction: Basel II vs SC Bruhl

Team pages: Basel II · SC Bruhl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Basel II1.55

SC Bruhl2

1X2

29% 23% 48%

Basel II Draw SC Bruhl

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Basel II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLLWLW

SC Bruhl 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Basel II 3–1–2 SC Bruhl (6 last)

SC Bruhl1-0Basel II
Basel II2-2SC Bruhl
SC Bruhl1-3Basel II
Basel II5-0SC Bruhl
Basel II3-2SC Bruhl
SC Bruhl1-0Basel II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basel II 1491 · SC Bruhl 1551

	Basel II	Draw	SC Bruhl
Our model	29%	23%	48%
Market	30%	22%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Bruhl (rating 1491 vs 1551).
H2H favours Basel II: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Basel II	SC Bruhl
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6	4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.33 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.86

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +3’	3.00	4.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +1’	3.33	3.94	1.85
19:49 +3’	3.33	3.92▼	1.86▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel II 3–1–2 SC Bruhl

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	SC Bruhl	1-0	Basel II
22/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	2-2 HT 1-1	SC Bruhl
10/05/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	SC Bruhl	1-3	Basel II
02/11/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	5-0	SC Bruhl
04/05/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	3-2	SC Bruhl
28/10/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	SC Bruhl	1-0	Basel II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	5	4	1	0	12	5	13
2	FC Schaffhausen	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
3	FC Bulle	5	3	2	0	13	6	11
4	SC Bruhl	5	3	1	1	10	4	10
5	FC Zurich II	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
6	SC Cham	5	3	1	1	7	6	10
7	FC Paradiso	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
8	Breitenrain	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	FC Kreuzlingen	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
10	FC Grand-Saconnex	5	2	0	3	12	12	6
11	Basel II	5	2	0	3	10	12	6
12	Lugano II	5	2	0	3	11	17	6
13	FC Amical Saint-Prex	5	2	0	3	6	13	6
14	Bavois	5	1	2	2	6	6	5
15	Lucerne II	5	1	1	3	10	11	4
16	Young Boys II	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
17	YF Juventus	5	1	0	4	6	13	3
18	AC Bellinzona	5	0	1	4	3	8	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Basel II	SC Bruhl
FC Zurich II	2-3 L	3-1 W
FC Grand-Saconnex	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basel II

DWLWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	Vevey Sports 05 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
09/05	Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

SC Bruhl

LDWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
08/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/07	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	4-2	5	1	W
30/05	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
09/05	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basel II vs SC Bruhl?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Bruhl win (48%). Probabilities: Basel II 29%, draw 23%, SC Bruhl 48%.

How many goals are expected in Basel II vs SC Bruhl?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Basel II 1.55 · SC Bruhl 2), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Basel II vs SC Bruhl?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.