Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Zurich II vs Biel Bienne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

FC Zurich II1.37

Biel Bienne2.06

1X2

25% 23% 53%

FC Zurich II Draw Biel Bienne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Zurich II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLWLLL

Biel Bienne 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDWDDW

Head-to-head

FC Zurich II 2–1–3 Biel Bienne (6 last)

FC Zurich II1-3Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne2-4FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II1-4Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne3-3FC Zurich II
Biel Bienne3-1FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II2-1Biel Bienne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Zurich II 1453 · Biel Bienne 1541

	FC Zurich II	Draw	Biel Bienne
Our model	25%	23%	52%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biel Bienne (rating 1453 vs 1541).
H2H favours Biel Bienne: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Zurich II	Biel Bienne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/14/71%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +3’	3.60	4.00	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich II 2–1–3 Biel Bienne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-3	Biel Bienne
07/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	2-4 HT 1-1	FC Zurich II
09/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-4	Biel Bienne
06/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	3-3 HT 1-1	FC Zurich II
18/02/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	3-1 HT 3-1	FC Zurich II
12/08/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	2-1	Biel Bienne

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Bruhl	1	1	0	4	2	3
2	AC Bellinzona	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Amical Saint-Prex	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Basel II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bavois	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Biel Bienne	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Breitenrain	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Bulle	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Grand-Saconnex	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Kreuzlingen	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lugano II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lucerne II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Paradiso	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Schaffhausen	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FC Zurich II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	SC Cham	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	YF Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Young Boys II	1	0	1	2	4	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Zurich II	Biel Bienne
Breitenrain	1-3 L	2-2 D
Kriens	0-4 L	1-1 D
SC Cham	0-2 L	2-3 L
FC Kreuzlingen	1-1 D	4-0 W
Lausanne Sport II	4-0 W	2-2 D
Lugano II	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Biel Bienne (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Zurich II

DWDLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
16/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
09/05	Vevey Sports 05 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	8-1	–	–	W
02/05	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
25/04	Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
18/04	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/04	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/04	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
08/04	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Biel Bienne

DWDWLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	FC Prishtina Bern Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
20/07	Breitenrain Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
18/07	Kriens Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/07	FC Besa Biel/Bienne Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
03/07	Yverdon Sport FC Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
30/05	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
23/05	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	8	4	D
09/05	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/05	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Zurich II vs Biel Bienne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Biel Bienne win (53%). Probabilities: FC Zurich II 25%, draw 23%, Biel Bienne 53%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich II vs Biel Bienne?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FC Zurich II 1.37 · Biel Bienne 2.06), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Zurich II vs Biel Bienne?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.