Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bavois vs FC Zurich II
Team pages: FC Zurich II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Bavois2.38
FC Zurich II1.48
1X2
Bavois
Draw
FC Zurich II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bavois
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
FC Zurich II
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bavois
4–2
FC Zurich II
(6 last)
- Bavois2-3FC Zurich II
- FC Zurich II2-3Bavois
- Bavois3-1FC Zurich II
- FC Zurich II3-2Bavois
- FC Zurich II0-4Bavois
- Bavois4-1FC Zurich II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bavois 1567 · FC Zurich II 1442
| Bavois | Draw | FC Zurich II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bavois (rating 1567 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Bavois: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bavois | FC Zurich II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 14/0/86% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bavois 4–0–2 FC Zurich II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Bavois | 2-3 | FC Zurich II |
| 30/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Zurich II | 2-3 | Bavois |
| 17/05/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Bavois | 3-1 HT 2-1 | FC Zurich II |
| 09/11/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Zurich II | 3-2 | Bavois |
| 20/04/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Zurich II | 0-4 | Bavois |
| 18/10/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Bavois | 4-1 HT 1-0 | FC Zurich II |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Grand-Saconnex | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Bulle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lucerne II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | SC Bruhl | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Kreuzlingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bavois | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Schaffhausen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SC Cham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Biel Bienne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Breitenrain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Paradiso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Zurich II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Young Boys II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Basel II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | AC Bellinzona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Lugano II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | YF Juventus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Amical Saint-Prex | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bavois | FC Zurich II |
|---|---|---|
| Kriens | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| SC Cham | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Kreuzlingen | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Lausanne Sport II | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bavois
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | FC La Sarraz Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 8-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | FC Echallens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Meyrin Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | CS Chênois Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Portalban Gletterens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
FC Zurich II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Vevey Sports 05 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bavois vs FC Zurich II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bavois win (56%). Probabilities: Bavois 56%, draw 21%, FC Zurich II 22%.
How many goals are expected in Bavois vs FC Zurich II?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Bavois 2.38 · FC Zurich II 1.48), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bavois vs FC Zurich II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.