Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 09/08, 14:00
Prediction: Young Boys II vs Lugano II
Team pages: Young Boys II · Lugano II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Young Boys II2.35
Lugano II1.47
1X2
Young Boys II
Draw
Lugano II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Young Boys II
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Lugano II
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Young Boys II
5–1
Lugano II
(6 last)
- Lugano II0-6Young Boys II
- Young Boys II3-2Lugano II
- Lugano II2-0Young Boys II
- Young Boys II3-0Lugano II
- Lugano II2-3Young Boys II
- Young Boys II1-0Lugano II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Young Boys II 1464 · Lugano II 1410
| Young Boys II | Draw | Lugano II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys II (rating 1464 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Young Boys II: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Young Boys II | Lugano II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 29/0/71% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys II 5–0–1 Lugano II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lugano II | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Young Boys II |
| 11/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Young Boys II | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Lugano II |
| 24/05/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lugano II | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Young Boys II |
| 16/11/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Young Boys II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lugano II |
| 17/02/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lugano II | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Young Boys II |
| 12/08/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Young Boys II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lugano II |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Grand-Saconnex | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Bulle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lucerne II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | SC Bruhl | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Kreuzlingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bavois | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Schaffhausen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SC Cham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Biel Bienne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Breitenrain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Paradiso | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Zurich II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Young Boys II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Basel II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | AC Bellinzona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Lugano II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | YF Juventus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Amical Saint-Prex | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Young Boys II | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Kreuzlingen | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lausanne Sport II | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Schaffhausen | 3-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Young Boys II (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Young Boys II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/07 | FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | FC Prishtina Bern Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
Lugano II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | YF Juventus Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Young Boys II vs Lugano II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys II win (56%). Probabilities: Young Boys II 56%, draw 22%, Lugano II 22%.
How many goals are expected in Young Boys II vs Lugano II?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Young Boys II 2.35 · Lugano II 1.47), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Young Boys II vs Lugano II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.