Football · Denmark Division 2 · 01/08, 14:00

Prediction: Hellerup IK vs VSK Arhus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Hellerup IK1.64

VSK Arhus1.27

1X2

45% 25% 29%

Hellerup IK Draw VSK Arhus

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hellerup IK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLDLD

VSK Arhus 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDDLWWLD

Head-to-head

Hellerup IK 4–2 VSK Arhus (6 last)

VSK Arhus4-1Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK1-0VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus1-2Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK4-2VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus2-0Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK2-0VSK Arhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellerup IK 1439 · VSK Arhus 1491

	Hellerup IK	Draw	VSK Arhus
Our model	45%	27%	29%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VSK Arhus (rating 1439 vs 1491).
H2H favours Hellerup IK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellerup IK	VSK Arhus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	1.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:11 +3’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellerup IK 4–0–2 VSK Arhus

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	4-1 HT 1-1	Hellerup IK
11/10/25 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-0 HT 0-0	VSK Arhus
26/05/18 Denmark Division 2 Relegation	VSK Arhus	1-2 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
17/03/18 Denmark Division 2 Relegation	Hellerup IK	4-2 HT 1-1	VSK Arhus
10/06/17 Denmark Division 2 Relegation	VSK Arhus	2-0 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
29/04/17 Denmark Division 2 Relegation	Hellerup IK	2-0 HT 0-0	VSK Arhus

Standings · Denmark Division 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	B93 Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fremad Amager	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brabrand	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Roskilde	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FA 2000	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellerup IK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Middelfart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Naestved	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nykobing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skive	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thisted FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VSK Arhus	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hellerup IK

LLWLLWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bronshoj BK Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	7	0	D
18/07	Holbæk Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
14/07	Vanløse Club Friendly List	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-3	4	4	L
30/05	Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 2	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
22/05	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-4	0-5	2	4	L
16/05	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
13/05	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
08/05	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-2	1	2	L
01/05	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	2	4	L

VSK Arhus

DLWDDLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Brabrand Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
18/07	Middelfart Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-3	3	2	L
06/06	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
30/05	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
23/05	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
16/05	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	10	5	D
13/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
09/05	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	4-1	5-2	6	4	W
02/05	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
25/04	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellerup IK vs VSK Arhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hellerup IK win (45%). Probabilities: Hellerup IK 45%, draw 25%, VSK Arhus 29%.

How many goals are expected in Hellerup IK vs VSK Arhus?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Hellerup IK 1.64 · VSK Arhus 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellerup IK vs VSK Arhus?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.