Football · Denmark Division 2 · 26/09, 13:30

Prediction: VSK Arhus vs Skive

Team pages: VSK Arhus · Skive

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

VSK Arhus1.41

Skive1.09

1X2

43% 28% 29%

VSK Arhus Draw Skive

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

VSK Arhus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLDD

Skive 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWLDDW

Head-to-head

VSK Arhus 2–3–1 Skive (6 last)

Skive1-1VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus0-1Skive
Skive1-1VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus1-1Skive
Skive0-2VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus1-0Skive

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VSK Arhus 1544 · Skive 1493

	VSK Arhus	Draw	Skive
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VSK Arhus (rating 1544 vs 1493).
H2H favours VSK Arhus: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VSK Arhus	Skive
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.08
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.38
2	3.00 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.18 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:11 +12’	2.10	3.30	3.00
12:04 +9’	2.05▼	3.30	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:52 +20’	2.03	3.53	3.17
10:58 +12’	2.03	3.52▼	3.17
10:23 +60’	2.04▲	3.48▼	3.18▲
13:32 +27’	2.28▲	3.31▼	2.85▼
22:58 +70’	2.18▼	3.34▲	3.01▲
02:08 +31’	2.08▼	3.38▲	3.18▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VSK Arhus 2–3–1 Skive

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-1 HT 1-1	VSK Arhus
18/04/26 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	0-1 HT 0-1	Skive
01/11/25 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-1 HT 1-0	VSK Arhus
13/09/25 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	1-1 HT 1-1	Skive
27/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Skive	0-2 HT 0-1	VSK Arhus
22/02/23 Europe Friendlies	VSK Arhus	1-0 HT 0-0	Skive

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	8	6	2	0	23	9	20
2	VSK Arhus	8	4	3	1	13	5	15
3	FC Roskilde	9	3	6	0	16	10	15
4	Middelfart	8	3	4	1	15	8	13
5	Naestved	8	3	4	1	11	9	13
6	Fremad Amager	8	2	5	1	11	11	11
6	Skive	8	3	2	3	11	11	11
8	B93 Copenhagen	8	2	3	3	12	13	9
9	Hellerup IK	9	2	2	5	8	16	8
10	Brabrand	8	1	2	5	9	17	5
11	FA 2000	8	1	2	5	9	19	5
12	Thisted FC	8	1	1	6	8	18	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VSK Arhus	Skive
Middelfart	1-1 D	0-0 D
B93 Copenhagen	2-2 D	2-1 W
FA 2000	0-0 D	2-2 D
Naestved	2-0 W	1-2 L
Thisted FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Fremad Amager	3-0 W	0-2 L
Ishoj	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VSK Arhus (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VSK Arhus

WWWWWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
13/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
05/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
23/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
08/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	6	W
01/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
30/05	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Skive

WDWLLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
13/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
05/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	6	7	D
30/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	9	L
08/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-3	1	6	L
01/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
06/06	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
29/05	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VSK Arhus vs Skive?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VSK Arhus win (43%). Probabilities: VSK Arhus 43%, draw 28%, Skive 29%.

How many goals are expected in VSK Arhus vs Skive?

The model expects 2.5 goals (VSK Arhus 1.41 · Skive 1.09), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in VSK Arhus vs Skive?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.