Football · Spain Primera Women · 30/08, 12:00
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao (W) vs FC Badalona (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Athletic Bilbao (W)1.67
FC Badalona (W)1.18
1X2
Athletic Bilbao (W)
Draw
FC Badalona (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Athletic Bilbao (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
FC Badalona (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Athletic Bilbao (W)
4–1–1
FC Badalona (W)
(6 last)
- FC Badalona (W)0-1Athletic Bilbao (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)0-0FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-1Athletic Bilbao (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)1-0FC Badalona (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)4-1FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)2-1Athletic Bilbao (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Athletic Bilbao (W) 1519 · FC Badalona (W) 1492
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | Draw | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Athletic Bilbao (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Bilbao (W) 4–1–1 FC Badalona (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
| 10/01/26 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 22/03/25 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
| 07/12/24 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 31/03/24 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 01/10/23 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDF Logrono (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Eibar (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sevilla (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tenerife (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CD Alaves (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Badalona (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Granada (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Madrid CFF (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Real Madrid (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Valencia (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Espanyol (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletic Bilbao (W) | FC Badalona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Alhama CF (W) | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| EDF Logrono (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Granada (W) | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Levante UD (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Madrid (W) | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Barcelona (W) | 1-7 L | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletic Bilbao (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | EDF Logrono (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo La Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-4 | 1-7 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 22/02 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
FC Badalona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | EDF Logrono (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Bilbao (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Athletic Bilbao (W) 48%, draw 26%, FC Badalona (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Athletic Bilbao (W) 1.67 · FC Badalona (W) 1.18), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.