Football · Spain Primera Women · 29/08, 21:00
Prediction: Madrid CFF (W) vs Granada (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Madrid CFF (W)1.33
Granada (W)1.4
1X2
Madrid CFF (W)
Draw
Granada (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Madrid CFF (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Granada (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Madrid CFF (W)
3–3
Granada (W)
(6 last)
- Granada (W)3-4Madrid CFF (W)
- Madrid CFF (W)0-1Granada (W)
- Madrid CFF (W)3-1Granada (W)
- Granada (W)1-0Madrid CFF (W)
- Granada (W)3-0Madrid CFF (W)
- Madrid CFF (W)1-0Granada (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madrid CFF (W) 1456 · Granada (W) 1528
| Madrid CFF (W) | Draw | Granada (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (W) (rating 1456 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Madrid CFF (W) | Granada (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madrid CFF (W) 3–0–3 Granada (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Spain Primera Women | Granada (W) | 3-4 HT 2-0 | Madrid CFF (W) |
| 01/11/25 Spain Primera Women | Madrid CFF (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Granada (W) |
| 16/03/25 Spain Primera Women | Madrid CFF (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Granada (W) |
| 14/12/24 Spain Primera Women | Granada (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Madrid CFF (W) |
| 31/03/24 Spain Primera Women | Granada (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Madrid CFF (W) |
| 08/10/23 Spain Primera Women | Madrid CFF (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Granada (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | EDF Logrono (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Alaves (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Badalona (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Madrid CFF (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Espanyol (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Madrid (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sevilla (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valencia (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Madrid CFF (W) | Granada (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sevilla (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Real Sociedad (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Tenerife (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Espanyol (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Granada (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madrid CFF (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/05 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | EDF Logrono (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/02 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Granada (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/03 | Deportivo La Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/02 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madrid CFF (W) vs Granada (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Granada (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Madrid CFF (W) 35%, draw 28%, Granada (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Madrid CFF (W) vs Granada (W)?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Madrid CFF (W) 1.33 · Granada (W) 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Madrid CFF (W) vs Granada (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.