Football · Spain Primera Women · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: Eibar (W) vs Espanyol (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Eibar (W)0.96

Espanyol (W)1.08

1X2

31% 31% 38%

Eibar (W) Draw Espanyol (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Eibar (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLWDW

Espanyol (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLLDDD

Head-to-head

Eibar (W) 0–3–3 Espanyol (W) (6 last)

Espanyol (W)2-0Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)1-2Espanyol (W)
Eibar (W)1-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)2-1Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)0-0Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)1-1Eibar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eibar (W) 1469 · Espanyol (W) 1505

	Eibar (W)	Draw	Espanyol (W)
Our model	30%	33%	37%
Market	32%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Espanyol (W): 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eibar (W)	Espanyol (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.73

2 (-0.25)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.85
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.62 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:48 +26’	2.75	3.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +6’	2.85	2.79	2.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar (W) 0–3–3 Espanyol (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/26 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Eibar (W)
16/11/25 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Espanyol (W)
26/04/25 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Espanyol (W)
06/10/24 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Eibar (W)
18/03/23 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Eibar (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Espanyol (W)
19/11/22 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Espanyol (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Eibar (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athletic Bilbao (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tenerife (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	EDF Logrono (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Alaves (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Badalona (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barcelona (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Granada (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Madrid CFF (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo La Coruna (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Espanyol (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eibar (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eibar (W)	Espanyol (W)
Sevilla (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Alhama CF (W)	2-0 W	1-3 L
Levante UD (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo La Coruna (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eibar (W)

LLLLDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	EDF Logrono (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
26/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-4	2	1	L
25/04	Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
03/04	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
28/03	Deportivo La Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-2	5	5	L
22/03	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
16/03	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
22/02	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Espanyol (W)

LWDWLLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/05	Deportivo La Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
01/05	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
22/04	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-4	3	3	L
04/04	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
28/03	Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
21/03	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
16/03	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
22/02	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eibar (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Espanyol (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Eibar (W) 31%, draw 31%, Espanyol (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Eibar (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Eibar (W) 0.96 · Espanyol (W) 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Eibar (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.