Football · Denmark Division 2 · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: Nykobing vs Fremad Amager

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Nykobing1.25

Fremad Amager1.44

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Nykobing Draw Fremad Amager

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nykobing 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Fremad Amager 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Nykobing 0–3–3 Fremad Amager (6 last)

Fremad Amager2-0Nykobing
Fremad Amager3-3Nykobing
Fremad Amager2-1Nykobing
Nykobing1-1Fremad Amager
Nykobing0-2Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager1-1Nykobing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nykobing 1606 · Fremad Amager 1537

	Nykobing	Draw	Fremad Amager
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1606 vs 1537).
H2H favours Fremad Amager: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nykobing	Fremad Amager
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.6	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +3’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykobing 0–3–3 Fremad Amager

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Fremad Amager	2-0 HT 1-0	Nykobing
01/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Fremad Amager	3-3 HT 1-1	Nykobing
15/11/24 Denmark Division 2	Fremad Amager	2-1 HT 0-0	Nykobing
10/09/24 Denmark Cup	Nykobing	1-1 HT 0-0	Fremad Amager
06/09/24 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	0-2 HT 0-0	Fremad Amager
03/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Fremad Amager	1-1 HT 0-1	Nykobing

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	B93 Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fremad Amager	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brabrand	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Roskilde	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FA 2000	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellerup IK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Middelfart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Naestved	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nykobing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skive	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thisted FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VSK Arhus	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nykobing

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
06/06	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
31/05	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-2	3-2	5	5	W
23/05	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
17/05	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
09/05	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
03/05	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	5-1	6	5	W
26/04	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
18/04	Næsby Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Fremad Amager

WLWLWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Frem Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
21/07	Sundby Europe Friendlies	2-1	3-1	7	2	W
18/07	FC Roskilde Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
11/07	Bronshoj BK Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/07	Hvidovre IF Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
06/06	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
29/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
23/05	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/05	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
13/05	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fremad Amager win (41%). Probabilities: Nykobing 33%, draw 26%, Fremad Amager 41%.

How many goals are expected in Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Nykobing 1.25 · Fremad Amager 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.