Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 29/08, 10:15

Prediction: FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Varnsdorf

Team pages: FK Neratovice-Byskovice · Varnsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

FK Neratovice-Byskovice2.04

Varnsdorf2

1X2

39% 23% 38%

FK Neratovice-Byskovice Draw Varnsdorf

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLLDW

Varnsdorf 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1–2 Varnsdorf (3 last)

Varnsdorf3-1FK Neratovice-Byskovice
FK Neratovice-Byskovice4-3Varnsdorf
FK Neratovice-Byskovice0-4Varnsdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1523 · Varnsdorf 1532

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Draw	Varnsdorf
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Varnsdorf: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Varnsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.1	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	3.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:05 +5’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1–0–2 Varnsdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
13/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	4-3 HT 3-2	Varnsdorf
11/08/21 Czechia Cup	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	0-4 HT 0-4	Varnsdorf

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	SK Artis Brno B	4	3	1	0	5	0	10
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	4	3	0	1	17	9	9
4	SK Unicov	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Slovacko II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	MFK Karvina B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Frydek Mistek	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	SFK Vrchovina	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
10	FC Brno II	4	2	1	1	8	12	7
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
12	SK Hranice	4	1	0	3	6	3	3
13	FK Hodonin	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	FK Blansko	4	0	2	2	7	12	2
16	MFK Havirov	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	Polanka	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
18	FC Vsetin	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B	2-1 W	2-0 W
FK Jablonec B	1-1 D	3-3 D
Benatky Nad Jizerou	1-4 L	1-0 W
SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 W	2-0 W
Slovan Liberec B	2-9 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Varnsdorf (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Neratovice-Byskovice

LLLDWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
09/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	2	5	L
06/06	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	4	3	L
28/05	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
24/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
10/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
06/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-9	3	0	L
01/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	5	3	L

Varnsdorf

WWLDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	2	L
09/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	4	1	W
30/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
24/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
17/05	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	6	4	D
10/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
06/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	3-2	4-3	4	10	W
02/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Varnsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Neratovice-Byskovice win (39%). Probabilities: FK Neratovice-Byskovice 39%, draw 23%, Varnsdorf 38%.

How many goals are expected in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Varnsdorf?

The model expects 4.05 goals (FK Neratovice-Byskovice 2.04 · Varnsdorf 2), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Varnsdorf?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.