Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 29/08, 10:30

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav B

Team pages: Velke Hamry · Mladá Boleslav B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Velke Hamry1.14

Mladá Boleslav B2.14

1X2

19% 22% 60%

Velke Hamry Draw Mladá Boleslav B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLLLL

Mladá Boleslav B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 1–1–0 Mladá Boleslav B (2 last)

Mladá Boleslav B3-3Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry4-0Mladá Boleslav B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1402 · Mladá Boleslav B 1509

	Velke Hamry	Draw	Mladá Boleslav B
Our model	18%	22%	59%
Market	19%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladá Boleslav B (rating 1402 vs 1509).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	Mladá Boleslav B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.5	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 4.4	1.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.20

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:46 +5’	4.75	4.20	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 1–1–0 Mladá Boleslav B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	3-3 HT 1-1	Velke Hamry
31/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	4-0 HT 1-0	Mladá Boleslav B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	SK Artis Brno B	4	3	1	0	5	0	10
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	4	3	0	1	17	9	9
4	SK Unicov	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Slovacko II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	MFK Karvina B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Frydek Mistek	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	SFK Vrchovina	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
10	FC Brno II	4	2	1	1	8	12	7
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
12	SK Hranice	4	1	0	3	6	3	3
13	FK Hodonin	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	FK Blansko	4	0	2	2	7	12	2
16	MFK Havirov	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	Polanka	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
18	FC Vsetin	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	Mladá Boleslav B
SK Sokol Zapy	0-2 L	0-4 L
SK Sokol Brozany	0-1 L	1-1 D
Usti N Orlici	3-3 D	3-0 W
FK Teplice B	1-2 L	0-2 L
Varnsdorf	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Hamry

LLDLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	13	7	L
06/06	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
30/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
20/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
16/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
10/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
02/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Mladá Boleslav B

LDWDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	3	8	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
24/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
16/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
06/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mladá Boleslav B win (60%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 19%, draw 22%, Mladá Boleslav B 60%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav B?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Velke Hamry 1.14 · Mladá Boleslav B 2.14), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.