Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs Varnsdorf

Team pages: SK Sokol Zapy · Varnsdorf

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
SK Sokol Zapy2.14
Varnsdorf1.27
1X2
56% 22% 21%
SK Sokol Zapy Draw Varnsdorf
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sokol Zapy 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWLDWWWDW
Varnsdorf 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLWWLWW
Head-to-head
SK Sokol Zapy 4–1 Varnsdorf (5 last)
  • Varnsdorf3-0SK Sokol Zapy
  • SK Sokol Zapy5-0Varnsdorf
  • SK Sokol Zapy1-0Varnsdorf
  • SK Sokol Zapy3-0Varnsdorf
  • Varnsdorf1-2SK Sokol Zapy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1567 · Varnsdorf 1552
SK Sokol ZapyDrawVarnsdorf
Our model56%22%21%
Market56%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 4-0-1.
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SK Sokol ZapyVarnsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 12.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.50.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4.6 / 6.73 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.14 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 401 Varnsdorf

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Czechia 3. Liga
Varnsdorf3-0
HT 1-0
SK Sokol Zapy
31/08/25
Czechia 3. Liga
SK Sokol Zapy5-0
HT 1-0
Varnsdorf
18/02/23
Europe Friendlies
SK Sokol Zapy1-0
HT 1-0
Varnsdorf
29/02/20
Europe Friendlies
SK Sokol Zapy3-0
HT 1-0
Varnsdorf
07/02/18
Europe Friendlies
Varnsdorf1-2
HT 0-0
SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Artis Brno B 7610 13019
2 FC Brno II 7511 191416
3 Frydek Mistek 7421 12614
4 TJ Unie Hlubina 7412 221413
5 SK Unicov 7412 12913
6 Sigma Olomouc B 7403 13812
7 FC Trinity Zlin B 7331 10612
8 Slovacko II 7322 12811
9 CSK Uhersky Brod 7322 10811
10 MFK Vitkovice 7322 8711
11 MFK Karvina B 7313 91010
12 SFK Vrchovina 7313 6910
13 SK Hranice 7304 979
14 FK Hodonin 7124 7115
15 FK Blansko 7034 9213
16 FC Vsetin 7106 5203
17 Polanka 7025 4102
18 MFK Havirov 7025 4162

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSK Sokol ZapyVarnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B 3-2 W 2-0 W
FK Jablonec B 1-1 D 3-3 D
Velke Hamry 2-0 W 3-1 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice 6-0 W 2-1 W
Slovan Liberec B 5-0 W 1-2 L
Benatky Nad Jizerou 2-4 L 1-0 W
Arsenal Ceska Lipa 2-1 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sokol Zapy

WWWLDWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 3-2 43 W
30/08 FK Jablonec B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-1 66 D
15/08 Velke Hamry
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 54 W
09/08 FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Czechia 3. Liga
4-0 6-0 65 W
06/06 Slovan Liberec B
Czechia 3. Liga
2-0 5-0 71 W
30/05 Velke Hamry
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 1-1 96 D
24/05 Benatky Nad Jizerou
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 2-4 61 L
21/05 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 2-1 55 W
10/05 FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 3-1 73 W
06/05 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
2-0 4-0 120 W

Varnsdorf

LDWWLWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Velke Hamry
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 3-1 35 W
29/08 FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-1 35 W
15/08 MFK Chrudim
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 1-3 102 L
09/08 Benatky Nad Jizerou
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 75 W
07/06 Hradec Kralove B
Czechia 3. Liga
4-0 5-0 41 W
30/05 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 2-4 L
24/05 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 2-0 W
20/05 SK Sparta Kolin
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 76 W
17/05 FK Jablonec B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 3-3 64 D
10/05 Slovan Liberec B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 1-2 66 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs Varnsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (56%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 56%, draw 22%, Varnsdorf 21%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs Varnsdorf?

The model expects 3.41 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 2.14 · Varnsdorf 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs Varnsdorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.