Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 11:00

Prediction: MFK Chrudim vs FK Jablonec B

Team pages: MFK Chrudim · FK Jablonec B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
MFK Chrudim1.53
FK Jablonec B2.09
1X2
28% 23% 50%
MFK Chrudim Draw FK Jablonec B
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Chrudim 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWWLWL
FK Jablonec B 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim 1484 · FK Jablonec B 1562
MFK ChrudimDrawFK Jablonec B
Our model27%23%50%
Market28%22%50%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec B (rating 1484 vs 1562).
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MFK ChrudimFK Jablonec B
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.22.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.13.6 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.23.5 / 0.1

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Frydek Mistek 161033 301533
2 SK Unicov 161033 362433
3 Sigma Olomouc B 161015 351831
4 SK Artis Brno B 16862 271430
5 FC Brno II 16934 362730
6 FK Hodonin 16727 251823
7 TJ Unie Hlubina 16655 343123
8 MFK Karvina B 16727 282523
9 MFK Vitkovice 16655 221923
10 SK Hranice 16727 202223
11 Slovacko II 16646 262022
12 CSK Uhersky Brod 16637 262721
13 FC Trinity Zlin B 16547 202619
14 FK Blansko 16457 233417
15 SFK Vrchovina 16529 173417
16 MFK Havirov 16268 132512
17 Polanka 163310 163112
18 FC Vsetin 163112 123610

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMFK ChrudimFK Jablonec B
Slovan Liberec B 3-1 W 2-0 W
Benatky Nad Jizerou 3-3 D 2-3 L
Pardubice B 0-1 L 2-1 W
FK Teplice B 1-4 L 4-1 W
Zenit Caslav 2-2 D 3-2 W
SK Sokol Brozany 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Chrudim

DDLLDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 SK Sokol Zapy
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 32 L
31/10 Velke Hamry
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 1-0 29 W
24/10 FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 1-6 52 L
17/10 FK Horni Redice
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 2-1 68 W
10/10 Slovan Liberec B
Czechia 3. Liga
2-0 3-1 63 W
04/10 Benatky Nad Jizerou
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 3-3 24 D
26/09 Pardubice B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-1 46 L
20/09 FK Teplice B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 1-4 54 L
12/09 Zenit Caslav
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 2-2 56 D
06/09 SK Sokol Brozany
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-1 34 D

FK Jablonec B

WDWLWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Benatky Nad Jizerou
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 2-3 111 L
01/11 Pardubice B
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 2-1 52 W
25/10 FK Teplice B
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 4-1 34 W
18/10 Zenit Caslav
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 3-2 96 W
11/10 SK Sokol Brozany
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 3-1 95 W
03/10 Banik Most-Sous
Czechia 3. Liga
3-0 3-1 45 W
27/09 Hradec Kralove B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 1-2 104 L
20/09 Varnsdorf
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 82 W
13/09 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-2 62 D
06/09 Slovan Liberec B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim vs FK Jablonec B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Jablonec B win (50%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim 28%, draw 23%, FK Jablonec B 50%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim vs FK Jablonec B?

The model expects 3.63 goals (MFK Chrudim 1.53 · FK Jablonec B 2.09), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim vs FK Jablonec B?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.