Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 13/09, 10:15

Prediction: FK Jablonec B vs Mladá Boleslav B

Team pages: FK Jablonec B · Mladá Boleslav B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

FK Jablonec B1.71

Mladá Boleslav B1.49

1X2

42% 25% 33%

FK Jablonec B Draw Mladá Boleslav B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jablonec B 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDLWDWDW

Mladá Boleslav B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec B 5–1 Mladá Boleslav B (6 last)

Mladá Boleslav B0-1FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B2-1Mladá Boleslav B
FK Jablonec B0-2Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B1-2FK Jablonec B
Mladá Boleslav B1-3FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-0Mladá Boleslav B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jablonec B 1550 · Mladá Boleslav B 1496

	FK Jablonec B	Draw	Mladá Boleslav B
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec B (rating 1550 vs 1496).
H2H favours FK Jablonec B: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jablonec B	Mladá Boleslav B
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	1.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.18 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.72

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +1’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:29 +127’	2.18	3.58	2.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec B 5–0–1 Mladá Boleslav B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Jablonec B
13/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	2-1 HT 2-0	Mladá Boleslav B
02/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	0-2 HT 0-0	Mladá Boleslav B
16/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec B
07/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	1-3 HT 1-3	FK Jablonec B
09/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-0 HT 0-0	Mladá Boleslav B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	MFK Vitkovice	8	3	3	2	8	7	12
9	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	8	0	4	4	9	21	4
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jablonec B	Mladá Boleslav B
SK Sokol Zapy	1-1 D	2-3 L
Velke Hamry	6-0 W	3-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-1 D	1-2 L
FK Horni Redice	2-0 W	6-0 W
Usti N Orlici	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Teplice B	1-1 D	0-2 L
Varnsdorf	3-3 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jablonec B

DDLDLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
06/06	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
31/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
28/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	6	L
24/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
17/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	4	4	D

Mladá Boleslav B

WDLLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	3	8	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
24/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
16/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec B vs Mladá Boleslav B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec B win (42%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec B 42%, draw 25%, Mladá Boleslav B 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec B vs Mladá Boleslav B?

The model expects 3.2 goals (FK Jablonec B 1.71 · Mladá Boleslav B 1.49), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec B vs Mladá Boleslav B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.