Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 30/08, 17:00
Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Jablonec B
Team pages: SK Sokol Zapy · FK Jablonec B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
SK Sokol Zapy2.13
FK Jablonec B1.15
1X2
SK Sokol Zapy
Draw
FK Jablonec B
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sokol Zapy
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
FK Jablonec B
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Sokol Zapy
5–1–0
FK Jablonec B
(6 last)
- FK Jablonec B1-2SK Sokol Zapy
- SK Sokol Zapy2-0FK Jablonec B
- SK Sokol Zapy1-0FK Jablonec B
- FK Jablonec B2-2SK Sokol Zapy
- FK Jablonec B1-4SK Sokol Zapy
- SK Sokol Zapy2-0FK Jablonec B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1577 · FK Jablonec B 1487
| SK Sokol Zapy | Draw | FK Jablonec B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1577 vs 1487).
- H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sokol Zapy | FK Jablonec B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.3 | 3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 5–1–0 FK Jablonec B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga | FK Jablonec B | 1-2 HT 1-2 | SK Sokol Zapy |
| 16/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga | SK Sokol Zapy | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Jablonec B |
| 07/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga | SK Sokol Zapy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Jablonec B |
| 26/02/25 Czechia 3. Liga | FK Jablonec B | 2-2 HT 1-2 | SK Sokol Zapy |
| 08/06/24 Czechia 3. Liga | FK Jablonec B | 1-4 HT 0-4 | SK Sokol Zapy |
| 11/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga | SK Sokol Zapy | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Jablonec B |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sigma Olomouc B | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | SK Artis Brno B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 9 |
| 4 | SK Unicov | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Slovacko II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | MFK Karvina B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Frydek Mistek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | SFK Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Brno II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | SK Hranice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Hodonin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 14 | MFK Vitkovice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | FK Blansko | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 2 |
| 16 | MFK Havirov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 17 | Polanka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Vsetin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Sokol Zapy | FK Jablonec B |
|---|---|---|
| Velke Hamry | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| FK Neratovice-Byskovice | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| SK Sokol Brozany | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sokol Zapy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
FK Jablonec B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/05 | SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Jablonec B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (59%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 59%, draw 21%, FK Jablonec B 19%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Jablonec B?
The model expects 3.28 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 2.13 · FK Jablonec B 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs FK Jablonec B?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.