Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 11/09, 11:00

Prediction: Slovan Liberec B vs Pardubice B

Team pages: Slovan Liberec B · Pardubice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Slovan Liberec B1.84

Pardubice B2.26

1X2

31% 22% 47%

Slovan Liberec B Draw Pardubice B

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Liberec B 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Pardubice B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Liberec B 1–2–3 Pardubice B (6 last)

Slovan Liberec B5-2Pardubice B
Pardubice B1-1Slovan Liberec B
Slovan Liberec B2-4Pardubice B
Pardubice B2-0Slovan Liberec B
Pardubice B2-1Slovan Liberec B
Slovan Liberec B1-1Pardubice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Liberec B 1517 · Pardubice B 1537

	Slovan Liberec B	Draw	Pardubice B
Our model	31%	21%	47%
Market	31%	22%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pardubice B: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Liberec B	Pardubice B
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 2	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +3’	2.90	4.00	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Liberec B 1–2–3 Pardubice B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	5-2 HT 2-0	Pardubice B
02/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	1-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Liberec B
19/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	2-4 HT 0-3	Pardubice B
21/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-0 HT 1-0	Slovan Liberec B
31/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-1 HT 1-1	Slovan Liberec B
03/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	1-1 HT 0-1	Pardubice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	MFK Vitkovice	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	7	0	3	4	9	21	3
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Liberec B	Pardubice B
FK Jablonec B	0-2 L	3-2 W
FK Teplice B	0-4 L	1-1 D
Velke Hamry	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pardubice B (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Liberec B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
29/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
08/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
06/06	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
31/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	4	6	W
23/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
17/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	5	5	W
10/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
06/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	9-2	4	0	W
03/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	8-1	7	4	W

Pardubice B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
30/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
16/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
06/06	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/05	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	10	6	L
27/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	11	7	L
24/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
17/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
06/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Liberec B vs Pardubice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pardubice B win (47%). Probabilities: Slovan Liberec B 31%, draw 22%, Pardubice B 47%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Liberec B vs Pardubice B?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Slovan Liberec B 1.84 · Pardubice B 2.26), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Liberec B vs Pardubice B?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.