Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs FK Teplice B

Team pages: Velke Hamry · FK Teplice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Velke Hamry1.2

FK Teplice B1.93

1X2

23% 23% 54%

Velke Hamry Draw FK Teplice B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLWL

FK Teplice B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDLWLL

Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 0–2 FK Teplice B (2 last)

FK Teplice B2-1Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry0-2FK Teplice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1395 · FK Teplice B 1499

	Velke Hamry	Draw	FK Teplice B
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Teplice B (rating 1395 vs 1499).
H2H favours FK Teplice B: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	FK Teplice B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.4	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.10

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.45 ★
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.65 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +14’	3.80	4.10	1.65
23:06 +5’	3.30▼	3.90▼	1.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +54’	3.45	3.78	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 0–0–2 FK Teplice B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	2-1 HT 1-1	Velke Hamry
12/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Teplice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	FK Teplice B
Zenit Caslav	1-2 L	1-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	4-2 W	5-2 W
Banik Most-Sous	0-3 L	0-5 L
Slovan Liberec B	1-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Teplice B (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Hamry

LLLLLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L

FK Teplice B

LLWWWDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
26/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	5	L
20/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	4	4	W
12/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
06/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
29/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
23/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-2	–	–	W
07/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	5	3	L
03/06	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs FK Teplice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Teplice B win (54%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 23%, draw 23%, FK Teplice B 54%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs FK Teplice B?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Velke Hamry 1.2 · FK Teplice B 1.93), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs FK Teplice B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.