Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 12:15
Prediction: Dukla Praha B vs Povltavska FA
Team pages: Dukla Praha B · Povltavska FA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Dukla Praha B2.25
Povltavska FA1.09
1X2
Dukla Praha B
Draw
Povltavska FA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dukla Praha B
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Povltavska FA
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dukla Praha B
2–2–2
Povltavska FA
(6 last)
- Povltavska FA1-4Dukla Praha B
- Dukla Praha B1-4Povltavska FA
- Povltavska FA2-0Dukla Praha B
- Dukla Praha B3-3Povltavska FA
- Dukla Praha B4-3Povltavska FA
- Povltavska FA0-0Dukla Praha B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dukla Praha B 1461 · Povltavska FA 1396
| Dukla Praha B | Draw | Povltavska FA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dukla Praha B (rating 1461 vs 1396).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dukla Praha B | Povltavska FA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dukla Praha B 2–2–2 Povltavska FA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga | Povltavska FA | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Dukla Praha B |
| 01/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga | Dukla Praha B | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Povltavska FA |
| 24/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga | Povltavska FA | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dukla Praha B |
| 29/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga | Dukla Praha B | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Povltavska FA |
| 19/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga | Dukla Praha B | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Povltavska FA |
| 21/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga | Povltavska FA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dukla Praha B |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frydek Mistek | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | SK Unicov | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc B | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | SK Artis Brno B | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Brno II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 6 | FK Hodonin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
| 7 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 23 |
| 8 | MFK Karvina B | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 9 | MFK Vitkovice | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 10 | SK Hranice | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 23 |
| 11 | Slovacko II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 12 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 21 |
| 13 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 14 | FK Blansko | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 17 |
| 15 | SFK Vrchovina | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| 16 | MFK Havirov | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 17 | Polanka | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Vsetin | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dukla Praha B | Povltavska FA |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague B | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Viktoria Plzen B | 0-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Bohemians 1905 B | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Pribram B | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Admira Praha | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Motorlet Praha | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dukla Praha B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Benesov Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/10 | Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/09 | Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Povltavska FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/10 | FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dukla Praha B vs Povltavska FA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dukla Praha B win (63%). Probabilities: Dukla Praha B 63%, draw 19%, Povltavska FA 17%.
How many goals are expected in Dukla Praha B vs Povltavska FA?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Dukla Praha B 2.25 · Povltavska FA 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dukla Praha B vs Povltavska FA?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.