Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 29/08, 10:15

Prediction: Aritma Praha vs Kraluv Dvur

Team pages: Aritma Praha · Kraluv Dvur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Aritma Praha1.49

Kraluv Dvur1.59

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Aritma Praha Draw Kraluv Dvur

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Aritma Praha 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWDDDD

Kraluv Dvur 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Aritma Praha 2–2 Kraluv Dvur (4 last)

Kraluv Dvur2-0Aritma Praha
Aritma Praha3-1Kraluv Dvur
Kraluv Dvur1-0Aritma Praha
Aritma Praha3-2Kraluv Dvur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aritma Praha 1510 · Kraluv Dvur 1568

	Aritma Praha	Draw	Kraluv Dvur
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kraluv Dvur (rating 1510 vs 1568).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aritma Praha	Kraluv Dvur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	2.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:47 +3’	2.55	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aritma Praha 2–0–2 Kraluv Dvur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Kraluv Dvur	2-0 HT 1-0	Aritma Praha
11/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	3-1 HT 1-1	Kraluv Dvur
15/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Kraluv Dvur	1-0 HT 1-0	Aritma Praha
17/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Aritma Praha	3-2 HT 3-0	Kraluv Dvur

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sigma Olomouc B	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	SK Artis Brno B	4	3	1	0	5	0	10
3	TJ Unie Hlubina	4	3	0	1	17	9	9
4	SK Unicov	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Slovacko II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	MFK Karvina B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Frydek Mistek	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Trinity Zlin B	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	SFK Vrchovina	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
10	FC Brno II	4	2	1	1	8	12	7
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
12	SK Hranice	4	1	0	3	6	3	3
13	FK Hodonin	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
14	MFK Vitkovice	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
15	FK Blansko	4	0	2	2	7	12	2
16	MFK Havirov	4	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	Polanka	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
18	FC Vsetin	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aritma Praha	Kraluv Dvur
FK Loko Praha	2-2 D	5-0 W
Ceske Budejovice B	2-2 D	2-6 L
FC Taborsko B	1-0 W	2-0 W
FK Admira Praha	2-1 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kraluv Dvur (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aritma Praha

DWLWLWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
30/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	11	3	W
20/05	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	FC Taborsko B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
09/05	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	9	L
06/05	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
01/05	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	7	8	D

Kraluv Dvur

WWWLLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
08/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
06/06	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
29/05	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
20/05	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	11	5	L
16/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-4	2-6	4	4	L
09/05	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
06/05	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
02/05	FC Taborsko B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aritma Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kraluv Dvur win (40%). Probabilities: Aritma Praha 35%, draw 25%, Kraluv Dvur 40%.

How many goals are expected in Aritma Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Aritma Praha 1.49 · Kraluv Dvur 1.59), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aritma Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.