Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: SK Novohrad Lucenec vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Team pages: SK Novohrad Lucenec · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

SK Novohrad Lucenec2.12

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto1.41

1X2

53% 23% 24%

SK Novohrad Lucenec Draw MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Novohrad Lucenec 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWLLL

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLWDL

Head-to-head

SK Novohrad Lucenec 1–1–0 MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto (2 last)

SK Novohrad Lucenec3-0MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto0-0SK Novohrad Lucenec

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Novohrad Lucenec (rating 1494 vs 1443).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Novohrad Lucenec	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.4 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4	3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.38
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.33
2	5.79 → 5.79	Pinn 5.79

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:32 +55’	1.38	4.33	5.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Novohrad Lucenec 1–1–0 MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	SK Novohrad Lucenec	3-0 HT 2-0	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
23/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Novohrad Lucenec

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	11	9	2	0	41	13	29
2	Namestovo	11	9	1	1	31	11	28
3	FK Cadca	11	7	1	3	29	14	22
4	FTC Filakovo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
5	Fomat Martin	11	7	0	4	27	21	21
6	FK Podkonice	11	4	4	3	25	19	16
7	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	11	4	2	5	13	18	14
8	Banik Kalinovo	11	4	1	6	12	24	13
9	Rimavska Sobota	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	11	3	2	6	10	20	11
11	SK Novohrad Lucenec	11	3	1	7	17	19	10
12	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	11	2	2	7	14	29	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
14	Dolny Kubin	11	1	3	7	9	23	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Novohrad Lucenec	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Namestovo	2-3 L	0-4 L
MFK Ruzomberok II	2-3 L	1-2 L
Fomat Martin	1-2 L	3-7 L
Tj Medzibrod	3-0 W	5-0 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	0-2 L	1-3 L
FK Podkonice	1-1 D	1-1 D
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	2-3 L	1-0 W
FK Cadca	3-1 W	0-6 L
FTC Filakovo	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Novohrad Lucenec

LWLDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

LLLWLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
11/10	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
19/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
30/08	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	6	6	W
22/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-7	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Novohrad Lucenec vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Novohrad Lucenec win (53%). Probabilities: SK Novohrad Lucenec 53%, draw 23%, MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 24%.

How many goals are expected in SK Novohrad Lucenec vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

The model expects 3.53 goals (SK Novohrad Lucenec 2.12 · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1.41), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Novohrad Lucenec vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.