Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Fomat Martin2.36

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto1.18

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Fomat Martin Draw MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fomat Martin 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWLLW

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Fomat Martin 2–0 MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto (2 last)

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto0-3Fomat Martin
Fomat Martin4-0MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fomat Martin 1557 · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1455

	Fomat Martin	Draw	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Our model	63%	20%	17%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fomat Martin (rating 1557 vs 1455).
H2H favours Fomat Martin: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fomat Martin	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.75 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +19’	1.40	4.50	5.75
17:03 +9’	1.42▲	4.50	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fomat Martin 2–0–0 MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	0-3 HT 0-2	Fomat Martin
18/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	4-0 HT 3-0	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Cadca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Podkonice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FTC Filakovo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dolny Kubin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fomat Martin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Namestovo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Novohrad Lucenec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rimavska Sobota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Banik Kalinovo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tj Medzibrod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fomat Martin	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
TJ Jednota Banova	2-1 W	2-0 W
FTC Filakovo	3-1 W	0-1 L
Namestovo	4-1 W	0-7 L
Dolny Kubin	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fomat Martin (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fomat Martin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Partizan Domaniza Slovakia Cup	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
18/07	MFK Zvolen Club Friendly List	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
30/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	5	0	L
23/05	TJ Jednota Banova Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
16/05	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
09/05	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/04	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/04	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	TJ Pokrok Stara Bystrica Slovakia Cup	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Jednota Banova Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
23/05	MFK Bytca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
10/05	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
02/05	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/04	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
11/04	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
04/04	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fomat Martin win (63%). Probabilities: Fomat Martin 63%, draw 20%, MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 17%.

How many goals are expected in Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Fomat Martin 2.36 · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.