Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 16/08, 11:00

Prediction: Slavia TU Kosice vs MFK Stara Lubovna

Team pages: MFK Stara Lubovna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Slavia TU Kosice1.93

MFK Stara Lubovna1.57

1X2

45% 24% 30%

Slavia TU Kosice Draw MFK Stara Lubovna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slavia TU Kosice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLWLWL

MFK Stara Lubovna 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDLLDL

Head-to-head

Slavia TU Kosice 1–1–2 MFK Stara Lubovna (4 last)

Slavia TU Kosice3-0MFK Stara Lubovna
MFK Stara Lubovna1-1Slavia TU Kosice
Slavia TU Kosice1-2MFK Stara Lubovna
MFK Stara Lubovna3-1Slavia TU Kosice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slavia TU Kosice 1487 · MFK Stara Lubovna 1447

	Slavia TU Kosice	Draw	MFK Stara Lubovna
Our model	46%	24%	31%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slavia TU Kosice (rating 1487 vs 1447).
H2H favours MFK Stara Lubovna: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slavia TU Kosice	MFK Stara Lubovna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:20 +6’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia TU Kosice 1–1–2 MFK Stara Lubovna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slavia TU Kosice	3-0 HT 1-0	MFK Stara Lubovna
16/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Stara Lubovna	1-1 HT 0-0	Slavia TU Kosice
21/04/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slavia TU Kosice	1-2 HT 1-1	MFK Stara Lubovna
23/09/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Stara Lubovna	3-1 HT 1-0	Slavia TU Kosice

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spisska Nova Ves	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
2	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Spartak Medzev	2	1	0	1	5	4	3
5	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
6	MFK Snina	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Odeva Lipany	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
8	Slovan Sabinov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	FK Poprad	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	Partizan Bardejov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	MFK Stara Lubovna	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slavia TU Kosice	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
14	MFK Kezmarok	2	0	0	2	0	7	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slavia TU Kosice	MFK Stara Lubovna
Inter Bratislava	2-1 W	2-2 D
OFK Banik Lehota	1-1 D	2-1 W
OFK Malzenice	0-1 L	1-2 L
Slovan Bratislava B	1-4 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slavia TU Kosice (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slavia TU Kosice

DLWLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
04/08	FK Povazska Sokol Slovakia Cup	2-0	6-0	13	0	W
15/05	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
08/05	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	7	W
02/05	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
26/04	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
22/04	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	13	L
19/04	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
12/04	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	1	L
05/04	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D

MFK Stara Lubovna

WDLWLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
01/08	TJ Druzstevnik Circ Slovakia Cup	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/05	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
08/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-5	6	6	L
02/05	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
25/04	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
21/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
17/04	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
11/04	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
04/04	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slavia TU Kosice vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavia TU Kosice win (45%). Probabilities: Slavia TU Kosice 45%, draw 24%, MFK Stara Lubovna 30%.

How many goals are expected in Slavia TU Kosice vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Slavia TU Kosice 1.93 · MFK Stara Lubovna 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slavia TU Kosice vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.