Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Puchov vs Spartak Myjava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Puchov1.09
Spartak Myjava1.41
1X2
Puchov
Draw
Spartak Myjava
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puchov
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Spartak Myjava
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puchov
3–3
Spartak Myjava
(6 last)
- Spartak Myjava2-1Puchov
- Spartak Myjava2-1Puchov
- Spartak Myjava3-0Puchov
- Puchov2-1Spartak Myjava
- Spartak Myjava0-1Puchov
- Puchov3-1Spartak Myjava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puchov 1474 · Spartak Myjava 1568
| Puchov | Draw | Spartak Myjava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 23% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Myjava (rating 1474 vs 1568).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puchov | Spartak Myjava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puchov 3–0–3 Spartak Myjava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/25 Europe Friendlies | Spartak Myjava | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Puchov |
| 13/01/24 Club Friendly List | Spartak Myjava | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Puchov |
| 11/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | Spartak Myjava | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Puchov |
| 29/07/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | Puchov | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Spartak Myjava |
| 17/03/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | Spartak Myjava | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puchov |
| 20/08/22 Slovakia 2. Liga | Puchov | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Spartak Myjava |
Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Trencin B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Myjava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | SK 1923 Gabcikovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | TJ Kovo Belusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | MSK Senec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | KFC Komarno B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Raca Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FK Nove Zamky | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Nitra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Puchov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Dunajska Streda B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | OK Castkovce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Slovan Duslo Šala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | OFK Dunajska Luzna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Banik Prievidza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puchov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | SK Blava Jaslovské Bohunice Slovakia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
Spartak Myjava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Tj Druzstevnik Hlboke Slovakia Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 5-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puchov vs Spartak Myjava?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Myjava win (45%). Probabilities: Puchov 30%, draw 26%, Spartak Myjava 45%.
How many goals are expected in Puchov vs Spartak Myjava?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Puchov 1.09 · Spartak Myjava 1.41), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Puchov vs Spartak Myjava?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.