Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: Fomat Martin vs MFK Ruzomberok II

Team pages: Fomat Martin · MFK Ruzomberok II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

Fomat Martin1.74

MFK Ruzomberok II2.25

1X2

29% 22% 49%

Fomat Martin Draw MFK Ruzomberok II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Fomat Martin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWWLW

MFK Ruzomberok II 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Fomat Martin 0–3–1 MFK Ruzomberok II (4 last)

Fomat Martin2-2MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II1-1Fomat Martin
Fomat Martin1-1MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II3-1Fomat Martin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fomat Martin 1507 · MFK Ruzomberok II 1605

	Fomat Martin	Draw	MFK Ruzomberok II
Our model	29%	22%	49%
Market	29%	23%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Ruzomberok II (rating 1507 vs 1605).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fomat Martin	MFK Ruzomberok II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	3.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	2.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	3.8 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.90

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +13’	3.10	3.90	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fomat Martin 0–3–1 MFK Ruzomberok II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	2-2 HT 2-2	MFK Ruzomberok II
10/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	1-1 HT 1-1	Fomat Martin
07/06/19 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Ruzomberok II
21/10/18 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	3-1 HT 2-0	Fomat Martin

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	11	9	2	0	41	13	29
2	Namestovo	11	9	1	1	31	11	28
3	FK Cadca	11	7	1	3	29	14	22
4	FTC Filakovo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
5	Fomat Martin	11	7	0	4	27	21	21
6	FK Podkonice	11	4	4	3	25	19	16
7	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	11	4	2	5	13	18	14
8	Banik Kalinovo	11	4	1	6	12	24	13
9	Rimavska Sobota	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	11	3	2	6	10	20	11
11	SK Novohrad Lucenec	11	3	1	7	17	19	10
12	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	11	2	2	7	14	29	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
14	Dolny Kubin	11	1	3	7	9	23	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fomat Martin	MFK Ruzomberok II
Banik Kalinovo	0-1 L	8-0 W
SK Novohrad Lucenec	2-1 W	3-2 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	1-0 W	3-0 W
FK Podkonice	4-3 W	4-4 D
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	0-1 L	4-1 W
FK Cadca	0-1 L	3-2 W
FTC Filakovo	1-6 L	1-1 D
Rimavska Sobota	5-1 W	5-1 W
Dolny Kubin	3-2 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 4 L	7 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Ruzomberok II (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fomat Martin

WWLLLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
11/10	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
19/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-3	–	–	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-6	2	3	L
22/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
15/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W

MFK Ruzomberok II

WWWDWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	5-0	8-0	4	3	W
10/10	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
04/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	10	2	W
24/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	4-4	5	4	D
20/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	9	3	W
12/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fomat Martin vs MFK Ruzomberok II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Ruzomberok II win (49%). Probabilities: Fomat Martin 29%, draw 22%, MFK Ruzomberok II 49%.

How many goals are expected in Fomat Martin vs MFK Ruzomberok II?

The model expects 4 goals (Fomat Martin 1.74 · MFK Ruzomberok II 2.25), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fomat Martin vs MFK Ruzomberok II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.