Prediction: Holbæk vs Næsby
- Holbæk1-2Næsby
- Næsby2-0Holbæk
- Holbæk2-2Næsby
- Næsby3-3Holbæk
- Holbæk4-0Næsby
- Næsby2-3Holbæk
| Holbæk | Draw | Næsby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 23% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holbæk | Næsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Holbæk 2–2–2 Næsby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Denmark Division 3 | Holbæk | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Næsby |
| 04/10/25 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Holbæk |
| 24/05/25 Denmark Division 3 | Holbæk | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Næsby |
| 03/05/25 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Holbæk |
| 15/03/25 Denmark Division 3 | Holbæk | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Næsby |
| 21/09/24 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Holbæk |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstebro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Holbæk | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Næsby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Helsingor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 8 | Bronshoj BK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Frem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Sundby | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| 11 | Ringsted IF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | Ishoj | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Holbæk | Næsby |
|---|---|---|
| Bronshoj BK | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sundby | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Holbæk (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holbæk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Holstebro Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Vejgaard B Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/06 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | IF Lyseng Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Odder IGF Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Vejgaard B Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Næsby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ishoj Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holbæk vs Næsby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Holbæk win (49%). Probabilities: Holbæk 49%, draw 24%, Næsby 28%.
How many goals are expected in Holbæk vs Næsby?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Holbæk 1.82 · Næsby 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Holbæk vs Næsby?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.