Football · Denmark Division 3 · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: Frem vs Sundby

Team pages: Frem · Sundby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Frem1.97
Sundby1.26
1X2
53% 23% 24%
Frem Draw Sundby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Frem 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWDWLL
Sundby 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLDLWLW
Head-to-head
Frem 3–1–2 Sundby (6 last)
  • Frem0-0Sundby
  • Sundby2-1Frem
  • Sundby1-2Frem
  • Frem3-2Sundby
  • Frem1-2Sundby
  • Frem3-0Sundby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frem 1506 · Sundby 1461
FremDrawSundby
Our model53%24%23%
Market53%23%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frem (rating 1506 vs 1461).
  • H2H favours Frem: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FremSundby
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.71.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.41.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.33.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frem 3–1–2 Sundby

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Denmark Division 3
Frem0-0
HT 0-0
Sundby
08/05/26
Denmark Division 3
Sundby2-1
HT 1-1
Frem
15/11/25
Denmark Division 3
Sundby1-2
HT 0-1
Frem
02/08/25
Denmark Division 3
Frem3-2
HT 3-1
Sundby
04/02/25
Europe Friendlies
Frem1-2
HT 1-2
Sundby
28/07/24
Europe Friendlies
Frem3-0
HT 2-0
Sundby

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 9612 241719
2 Bronshoj BK 8521 16817
3 FC Helsingor 9522 171117
4 Vanløse 8431 14815
5 Holstebro 8413 151513
6 ASA Aarhus 8413 111113
7 Næsby 8323 141311
8 Horsholm-Usserod IK 8233 16169
9 Frem 8224 16158
10 Sundby 8215 11157
11 Ishoj 8116 4164
12 Ringsted IF 8116 10234

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFremSundby
Holstebro 2-3 L 2-0 W
Ringsted IF 5-2 W 0-2 L
ASA Aarhus 3-1 W 1-0 W
FC Helsingor 0-1 L 1-2 L
Horsholm-Usserod IK 1-1 D 4-4 D
Holbæk 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Frem (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frem

DDLDLWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-3 63 L
13/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-3 51 L
04/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
3-1 5-2 52 W
29/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 63 D
22/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-1 –– W
14/08 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 64 L
07/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
01/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
13/06 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 57 D
06/06 Odder IGF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-2 56 D

Sundby

LDLLLDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 112 W
13/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
1-2 1-2 67 L
05/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 51 W
29/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
22/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 –– D
15/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 03 L
08/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 65 L
01/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-2 –– L
13/06 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 27 D
04/06 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-5 00 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frem vs Sundby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frem win (53%). Probabilities: Frem 53%, draw 23%, Sundby 24%.

How many goals are expected in Frem vs Sundby?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Frem 1.97 · Sundby 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frem vs Sundby?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.