Football · Denmark Division 3 · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Vanløse

Team pages: Horsholm-Usserod IK · Vanløse

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Horsholm-Usserod IK1.59
Vanløse1.5
1X2
39% 25% 35%
Horsholm-Usserod IK Draw Vanløse
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Horsholm-Usserod IK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLDWDLLW
Vanløse 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLDWLWDWW
Head-to-head
Horsholm-Usserod IK 1–2–3 Vanløse (6 last)
  • Vanløse0-2Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1Vanløse
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1Vanløse
  • Vanløse2-2Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Vanløse1-0Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK1-1Vanløse
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1514 · Vanløse 1574
Horsholm-Usserod IKDrawVanløse
Our model39%26%35%
Market40%24%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vanløse (rating 1514 vs 1574).
  • H2H favours Vanløse: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Horsholm-Usserod IKVanløse
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 21.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.90.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.32.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.15.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Horsholm-Usserod IK 123 Vanløse

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/06/26
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse0-2
HT 0-1
Horsholm-Usserod IK
02/05/26
Denmark Division 3
Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1
HT 0-0
Vanløse
07/03/26
Denmark Division 3
Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1
HT 0-0
Vanløse
04/10/25
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse2-2
HT 1-0
Horsholm-Usserod IK
14/06/25
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
Vanløse1-0Horsholm-Usserod IK
09/05/25
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
Horsholm-Usserod IK1-1
HT 0-1
Vanløse

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 8611 231219
2 Vanløse 7421 13714
3 Bronshoj BK 7421 11714
4 ASA Aarhus 7412 10613
5 Holstebro 7412 151313
6 FC Helsingor 7412 11913
7 Næsby 7313 131210
8 Frem 7223 14128
9 Horsholm-Usserod IK 7223 15158
10 Sundby 7115 9154
11 Ringsted IF 8116 10234
12 Ishoj 7016 1141

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHorsholm-Usserod IKVanløse
Næsby 3-4 L 3-0 W
Bronshoj BK 0-2 L 1-1 D
Ishoj 2-0 W 1-0 W
Frem 1-1 D 2-2 D
Holstebro 2-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vanløse (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Horsholm-Usserod IK

DWLLDWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 34 W
05/09 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-2 3-4 L
29/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-2 15 L
22/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 D
15/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-0 45 W
07/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 62 D
01/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-2 2-3 62 L
13/06 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
1-2 2-4 L
06/06 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-0 26 W
29/05 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 12 D

Vanløse

DLLDWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 17 W
05/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-1 56 W
29/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-2 43 D
22/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 W
15/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-2 17 L
08/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-0 76 W
31/07 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 65 D
13/06 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-4 1-5 92 L
06/06 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 106 L
29/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 38 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Vanløse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Horsholm-Usserod IK win (39%). Probabilities: Horsholm-Usserod IK 39%, draw 25%, Vanløse 35%.

How many goals are expected in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Vanløse?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.59 · Vanløse 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Vanløse?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.