Prediction: Næsby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK
Team pages: Næsby · Horsholm-Usserod IK
- Horsholm-Usserod IK2-4Næsby
- Næsby5-0Horsholm-Usserod IK
- Næsby4-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
- Horsholm-Usserod IK1-1Næsby
| Næsby | Draw | Horsholm-Usserod IK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Næsby (rating 1572 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Næsby: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Næsby | Horsholm-Usserod IK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 7 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Næsby 3–1–0 Horsholm-Usserod IK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Denmark Division 3 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Næsby |
| 09/05/26 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Horsholm-Usserod IK |
| 28/03/26 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Horsholm-Usserod IK |
| 30/08/25 Denmark Division 3 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Næsby |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Bronshoj BK | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | ASA Aarhus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Holstebro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Helsingor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Vanløse | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Frem | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| 8 | Næsby | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| 10 | Ringsted IF | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
| 11 | Sundby | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 1 |
| 12 | Ishoj | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Næsby | Horsholm-Usserod IK |
|---|---|---|
| Ishoj | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Bronshoj BK | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Vanløse | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Sundby | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| FA 2000 | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nykobing | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Næsby (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Næsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Holbæk Denmark Division 3 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Ishoj Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
Horsholm-Usserod IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
2-2 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Ishoj Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Holstebro Denmark Division 3 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Næsby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Næsby win (56%). Probabilities: Næsby 56%, draw 22%, Horsholm-Usserod IK 22%.
How many goals are expected in Næsby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Næsby 2.42 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Næsby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.