Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 25/10, 13:30

Prediction: MFK Stara Lubovna vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Team pages: MFK Stara Lubovna · FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

MFK Stara Lubovna1.28

FC Lokomotiva Kosice1.36

1X2

35% 27% 38%

MFK Stara Lubovna Draw FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Stara Lubovna 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWLDW

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWWWW

Head-to-head

MFK Stara Lubovna 1–0 FC Lokomotiva Kosice (1 last)

FC Lokomotiva Kosice1-2MFK Stara Lubovna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Stara Lubovna 1559 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1566

	MFK Stara Lubovna	Draw	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Our model	34%	29%	38%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Stara Lubovna	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.7 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.41 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:50 +16’	2.55	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +51’	2.50	3.22	2.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Stara Lubovna 1–0–0 FC Lokomotiva Kosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/25 Slovakia Cup	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	1-2 HT 1-0	MFK Stara Lubovna

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	11	7	3	1	18	4	24
2	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	12	7	2	3	19	15	23
3	Spartak Medzev	12	7	2	3	25	17	23
4	MFK Stara Lubovna	11	6	3	2	24	13	21
5	Partizan Bardejov	12	6	2	4	22	20	20
6	Spisska Nova Ves	12	6	1	5	18	15	19
7	Odeva Lipany	12	5	3	4	24	16	18
8	FK Poprad	12	5	2	5	20	17	17
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	4	2	5	16	14	14
10	MFK Snina	11	3	5	3	11	13	14
11	Slavia TU Kosice	11	4	1	6	21	21	13
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	11	4	1	6	12	25	13
13	Slovan Sabinov	12	1	4	7	4	18	7
14	MFK Kezmarok	12	0	1	11	7	33	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Stara Lubovna	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
MFK Kezmarok	3-1 W	3-0 W
MFK Snina	1-1 D	0-0 D
Spartak Medzev	1-2 L	0-0 D
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	5-0 W	3-0 W
FK Poprad	2-1 W	1-2 L
Odeva Lipany	3-0 W	2-0 W
Partizan Bardejov	2-2 D	2-1 W
Slavia TU Kosice	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Stara Lubovna

WDDWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
10/10	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
19/09	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
06/09	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

WLWDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
10/10	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
03/10	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
26/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Stara Lubovna vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lokomotiva Kosice win (38%). Probabilities: MFK Stara Lubovna 35%, draw 27%, FC Lokomotiva Kosice 38%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Stara Lubovna vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model expects 2.64 goals (MFK Stara Lubovna 1.28 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1.36), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Stara Lubovna vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.