Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: TJ Kovo Belusa vs Raca Bratislava

Team pages: TJ Kovo Belusa · Raca Bratislava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

TJ Kovo Belusa2.43

Raca Bratislava1.3

1X2

61% 21% 18%

TJ Kovo Belusa Draw Raca Bratislava

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Kovo Belusa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWWWW

Raca Bratislava 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWDWDDL

Head-to-head

TJ Kovo Belusa 4–1–1 Raca Bratislava (6 last)

TJ Kovo Belusa2-0Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava3-5TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa1-1Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava4-0TJ Kovo Belusa
Raca Bratislava2-3TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa2-0Raca Bratislava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Kovo Belusa 1614 · Raca Bratislava 1519

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Draw	Raca Bratislava
Our model	61%	20%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Kovo Belusa (rating 1614 vs 1519).
H2H favours TJ Kovo Belusa: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Raca Bratislava
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.5 / 6.6	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +3’	1.48	4.33	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Kovo Belusa 4–1–1 Raca Bratislava

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	2-0 HT 0-0	Raca Bratislava
07/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	3-5 HT 2-2	TJ Kovo Belusa
27/04/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	1-1 HT 0-0	Raca Bratislava
13/10/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	4-0 HT 1-0	TJ Kovo Belusa
03/03/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	2-3 HT 2-2	TJ Kovo Belusa
30/08/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	2-0 HT 2-0	Raca Bratislava

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Trencin B	3	2	1	0	8	5	7
2	Dunajska Streda B	3	2	0	1	9	5	6
3	TJ Kovo Belusa	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
4	MSK Senec	3	2	0	1	5	5	6
5	Spartak Myjava	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
6	FK Nove Zamky	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
7	FC Nitra	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	OFK Dunajska Luzna	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
10	Puchov	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	KFC Komarno B	3	0	2	1	4	6	2
12	Raca Bratislava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	OK Castkovce	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
15	FC Banik Prievidza	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	2	0	0	2	3	7	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Kovo Belusa	Raca Bratislava
Dunajska Streda B	3-2 W	5-0 W
AS Trencin B	1-0 W	2-3 L
OK Castkovce	4-1 W	3-3 D
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	3-0 W	1-2 L
FK Nove Zamky	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Kovo Belusa (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Kovo Belusa

WLWDLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	13	8	W
06/06	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/05	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
03/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	6	W
24/04	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	4	4	L
19/04	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	4	W

Raca Bratislava

LDLDWDWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
08/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	11	D
06/06	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	3	D
30/05	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
24/05	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
17/05	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
10/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	15	2	D
01/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	2-8	5	1	L
26/04	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	7	2	D
19/04	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Raca Bratislava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Kovo Belusa win (61%). Probabilities: TJ Kovo Belusa 61%, draw 21%, Raca Bratislava 18%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Raca Bratislava?

The model expects 3.73 goals (TJ Kovo Belusa 2.43 · Raca Bratislava 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Raca Bratislava?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.