Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 23/08, 10:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dolny Kubin

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok II · Dolny Kubin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

MFK Ruzomberok II2.36

Dolny Kubin1.02

1X2

67% 19% 15%

MFK Ruzomberok II Draw Dolny Kubin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLLLWW

Dolny Kubin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWDLL

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok II 1–2 Dolny Kubin (3 last)

MFK Ruzomberok II2-3Dolny Kubin
Dolny Kubin4-2MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II6-0Dolny Kubin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok II 1489 · Dolny Kubin 1450

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Draw	Dolny Kubin
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dolny Kubin: 2-0-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Dolny Kubin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.7	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +6’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok II 1–0–2 Dolny Kubin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	2-3 HT 0-2	Dolny Kubin
25/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dolny Kubin	4-2 HT 1-0	MFK Ruzomberok II
20/01/19 Club Friendly List	MFK Ruzomberok II	6-0 HT 3-0	Dolny Kubin

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fomat Martin	2	2	0	10	5	6
2	MFK Ruzomberok II	2	2	0	4	2	6
2	Rimavska Sobota	2	2	0	4	2	6
4	FTC Filakovo	2	2	0	2	0	6
5	FK Podkonice	2	1	1	4	3	3
6	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	2	1	1	3	2	3
7	Namestovo	2	1	1	4	4	3
8	Tj Medzibrod	2	1	1	3	3	3
9	Banik Kalinovo	2	1	1	3	3	3
10	FK Cadca	2	1	1	6	3	3
11	Dolny Kubin	2	0	2	3	5	0
12	SK Novohrad Lucenec	2	0	2	1	3	0
13	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	2	0	2	4	9	0
14	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	2	0	2	0	7	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok II	Dolny Kubin
Namestovo	2-1 W	1-5 L
Banik Kalinovo	2-0 W	1-2 L
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Ruzomberok II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok II

DDWLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
09/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/05	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
10/05	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	MFK Bytca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/04	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/04	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	11	5	D

Dolny Kubin

LWLDLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	2-3	6	5	L
09/08	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	3	10	L
30/05	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/05	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
02/05	TJ Jednota Banova Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
25/04	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
18/04	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
11/04	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dolny Kubin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Ruzomberok II win (67%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok II 67%, draw 19%, Dolny Kubin 15%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dolny Kubin?

The model expects 3.39 goals (MFK Ruzomberok II 2.36 · Dolny Kubin 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dolny Kubin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.