Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

MSK Tesla Stropkov1.96

FC Lokomotiva Kosice0.98

1X2

59% 23% 18%

MSK Tesla Stropkov Draw FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Tesla Stropkov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLDWW

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDLDDW

Head-to-head

MSK Tesla Stropkov 3–1–0 FC Lokomotiva Kosice (4 last)

FC Lokomotiva Kosice0-0MSK Tesla Stropkov
MSK Tesla Stropkov4-0FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FC Lokomotiva Kosice0-1MSK Tesla Stropkov
MSK Tesla Stropkov2-0FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Tesla Stropkov 1515 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1533

	MSK Tesla Stropkov	Draw	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Our model	59%	24%	17%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MSK Tesla Stropkov: 3-1-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Tesla Stropkov	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	3.7 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:41 +19’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Tesla Stropkov 3–1–0 FC Lokomotiva Kosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-0 HT 0-0	MSK Tesla Stropkov
26/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Tesla Stropkov	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
29/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-1 HT 0-1	MSK Tesla Stropkov
01/09/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Poprad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Kezmarok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Sabinov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Snina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartak Medzev	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Stara Lubovna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Tesla Stropkov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partizan Bardejov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Odeva Lipany	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slavia TU Kosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spisska Nova Ves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Tesla Stropkov	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FK Poprad	0-3 L	1-1 D
Spisska Nova Ves	0-2 L	0-3 L
MFK Vranov nad Toplou	4-1 W	1-1 D
MFK Snina	2-1 W	2-1 W
FK Humenne	1-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MSK Tesla Stropkov

LWWLDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SK Slavia Lackovce Slovakia Cup	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-1	–	–	W
23/05	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
02/05	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
18/04	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
10/04	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
04/04	FK Humenne Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	6	L

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

DWWDWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	TJ Druzstevnik Mala Ida Slovakia Cup	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
30/05	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/05	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
09/05	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
03/05	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	FK Humenne Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
19/04	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
11/04	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
03/04	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Tesla Stropkov win (59%). Probabilities: MSK Tesla Stropkov 59%, draw 23%, FC Lokomotiva Kosice 18%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model expects 2.95 goals (MSK Tesla Stropkov 1.96 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.