Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Odeva Lipany vs MFK Kezmarok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Odeva Lipany2.11

MFK Kezmarok1.11

1X2

59% 22% 18%

Odeva Lipany Draw MFK Kezmarok

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odeva Lipany 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDDLD

MFK Kezmarok 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Odeva Lipany 2–0 MFK Kezmarok (2 last)

MFK Kezmarok1-2Odeva Lipany
Odeva Lipany3-1MFK Kezmarok

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odeva Lipany (rating 1533 vs 1439).
H2H favours Odeva Lipany: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odeva Lipany	MFK Kezmarok
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 7	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.86

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48
X	4.03 → 4.03	Pinn 4.03
2	4.90 → 4.90	Pinn 4.90

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:44 +2’	1.48	4.03	4.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odeva Lipany 2–0–0 MFK Kezmarok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Kezmarok	1-2 HT 1-1	Odeva Lipany
30/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Odeva Lipany	3-1 HT 1-1	MFK Kezmarok

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Poprad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Kezmarok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan Sabinov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Snina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartak Medzev	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Stara Lubovna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSK Tesla Stropkov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partizan Bardejov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Odeva Lipany	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slavia TU Kosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spisska Nova Ves	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odeva Lipany	MFK Kezmarok
FK Humenne	0-2 L	0-6 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	2-2 D	2-1 W
MFK Snina	3-1 W	1-3 L
Slovan Sabinov	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Odeva Lipany (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Odeva Lipany

WLWWLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Tj Sokol Brezovica Slovakia Cup	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/07	FK Humenne Club Friendly List	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
30/05	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	9	1	D
23/05	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/05	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	10	7	L
02/05	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
18/04	FK Humenne Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

MFK Kezmarok

LLWWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	SK Harichovce Slovakia Cup	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
30/05	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	FK Humenne Slovakia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	–	–	L
17/05	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
09/05	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
26/04	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
18/04	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	6-2	–	–	W
11/04	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
04/04	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odeva Lipany vs MFK Kezmarok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odeva Lipany win (59%). Probabilities: Odeva Lipany 59%, draw 22%, MFK Kezmarok 18%.

How many goals are expected in Odeva Lipany vs MFK Kezmarok?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Odeva Lipany 2.11 · MFK Kezmarok 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Odeva Lipany vs MFK Kezmarok?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.