Football · Hungary NB II · 16/08, 17:30

Prediction: Szentlorinc SE vs Csakvari TK

Team pages: Szentlorinc SE · Csakvari TK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Szentlorinc SE1.26

Csakvari TK0.93

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Szentlorinc SE Draw Csakvari TK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Szentlorinc SE 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDLDW

Csakvari TK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Szentlorinc SE 2–3–1 Csakvari TK (6 last)

Csakvari TK2-2Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE0-0Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK0-4Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE1-1Csakvari TK
Szentlorinc SE1-0Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK2-1Szentlorinc SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szentlorinc SE 1518 · Csakvari TK 1510

	Szentlorinc SE	Draw	Csakvari TK
Our model	43%	31%	26%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Szentlorinc SE: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szentlorinc SE	Csakvari TK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.3	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +1’	2.00	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Szentlorinc SE 2–3–1 Csakvari TK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	2-2 HT 1-1	Szentlorinc SE
21/09/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	0-0 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
02/03/25 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	0-4 HT 0-2	Szentlorinc SE
18/08/24 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-1 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
02/04/23 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-0 HT 1-0	Csakvari TK
05/10/22 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	2-1 HT 0-1	Szentlorinc SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Gyirmot SE	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
3	Fehervar FC	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
5	Tiszakecske FC	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
6	FC Ajka	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Szentlorinc SE	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
8	Kecskemeti TE	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
9	Csakvari TK	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
9	FC Nagykanizsa	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
11	Diosgyori VTK	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
12	Karcagi SE	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	BVSC Zuglo	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
15	Mezokovesd Zsory	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	Kozarmisleny SE	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szentlorinc SE	Csakvari TK
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kozarmisleny SE	0-2 L	2-0 W
Tiszakecske FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
BVSC Zuglo	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Szentlorinc SE (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Szentlorinc SE

LDWWWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/07	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
08/07	Kozarmisleny SE Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
24/06	Paksi Europe Friendlies	3-2	3-3	4	0	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	4	1	L

Csakvari TK

WLLWWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
02/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
26/07	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	7	L
18/07	FC Ajka Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
11/07	BVSC Zuglo Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/05	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
26/04	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
19/04	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szentlorinc SE vs Csakvari TK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szentlorinc SE win (44%). Probabilities: Szentlorinc SE 44%, draw 29%, Csakvari TK 27%.

How many goals are expected in Szentlorinc SE vs Csakvari TK?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Szentlorinc SE 1.26 · Csakvari TK 0.93), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Szentlorinc SE vs Csakvari TK?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.