Football · Hungary NB II · 15/08, 17:30

Prediction: Kazincbarcikai BSC vs Kozarmisleny SE

Team pages: Kazincbarcikai BSC · Kozarmisleny SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Kazincbarcikai BSC1.63

Kozarmisleny SE0.92

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Kazincbarcikai BSC Draw Kozarmisleny SE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kazincbarcikai BSC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWDWD

Kozarmisleny SE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Kazincbarcikai BSC 3–3 Kozarmisleny SE (6 last)

Kozarmisleny SE2-1Kazincbarcikai BSC
Kazincbarcikai BSC2-3Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE0-2Kazincbarcikai BSC
Kozarmisleny SE4-2Kazincbarcikai BSC
Kazincbarcikai BSC1-0Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE0-3Kazincbarcikai BSC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kazincbarcikai BSC 1509 · Kozarmisleny SE 1536

	Kazincbarcikai BSC	Draw	Kozarmisleny SE
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kazincbarcikai BSC	Kozarmisleny SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.3	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:37 +2’	1.65	3.60	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kazincbarcikai BSC 3–0–3 Kozarmisleny SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/25 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	2-1 HT 0-0	Kazincbarcikai BSC
29/09/24 Hungary NB II	Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-3 HT 0-1	Kozarmisleny SE
07/04/24 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	0-2 HT 0-1	Kazincbarcikai BSC
01/11/23 Hungary Cup	Kozarmisleny SE	4-2 HT 1-0	Kazincbarcikai BSC
01/10/23 Hungary NB II	Kazincbarcikai BSC	1-0 HT 0-0	Kozarmisleny SE
19/02/23 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	0-3 HT 0-1	Kazincbarcikai BSC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Gyirmot SE	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
3	Fehervar FC	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
5	Tiszakecske FC	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
6	FC Ajka	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Szentlorinc SE	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
8	Kecskemeti TE	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
9	Csakvari TK	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
9	FC Nagykanizsa	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
11	Diosgyori VTK	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
12	Karcagi SE	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	BVSC Zuglo	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
15	Mezokovesd Zsory	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	Kozarmisleny SE	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kazincbarcikai BSC	Kozarmisleny SE
Gyirmot SE	2-2 D	1-2 L
Fehervar FC	3-1 W	0-4 L
MTK Budapest	2-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kazincbarcikai BSC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kazincbarcikai BSC

LDWDLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
25/07	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/07	DEAC Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
11/07	Kisvarda FC Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
26/06	MTK Budapest Europe Friendlies	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
15/05	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
02/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	2-0	2-1	6	6	W
24/04	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/04	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-3	0-4	4	4	L

Kozarmisleny SE

WWWDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	2	13	L
25/07	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
18/07	MTK Budapest Club Friendly List	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
11/07	Paksi Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
08/07	Szentlorinc SE Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Pecsi MFC Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
27/06	Kaposvari Rakoczi Club Friendly List	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kazincbarcikai BSC win (53%). Probabilities: Kazincbarcikai BSC 53%, draw 26%, Kozarmisleny SE 21%.

How many goals are expected in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Kazincbarcikai BSC 1.63 · Kozarmisleny SE 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.