Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 25/07, 21:00
Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Deportivo San Pedro0.94
Xelaju1.62
1X2
Deportivo San Pedro
Draw
Xelaju
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo San Pedro
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Xelaju
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo San Pedro
2–0
Xelaju
(2 last)
- Xelaju0-2Deportivo San Pedro
- Deportivo San Pedro3-1Xelaju
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo San Pedro 1560 · Xelaju 1527
| Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo San Pedro: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo San Pedro | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo San Pedro 2–0–0 Xelaju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/18 Guatemala Cup | Xelaju | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 17/10/18 Guatemala Cup | Deportivo San Pedro | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Xelaju |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aurora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guastatoya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malacateco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marquense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Suchitepequez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Comunicaciones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Xelaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo San Pedro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo San Pedro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/04 | Nueva Concepcion Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Xelaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 01/05 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Xelaju win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo San Pedro 22%, draw 25%, Xelaju 53%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Deportivo San Pedro 0.94 · Xelaju 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.