Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 26/07, 03:00
Prediction: Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Malacateco1.28
Coban Imperial0.69
1X2
Malacateco
Draw
Coban Imperial
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Malacateco
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Coban Imperial
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malacateco
3–3
Coban Imperial
(6 last)
- Malacateco2-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-0Malacateco
- Coban Imperial0-1Malacateco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malacateco 1481 · Coban Imperial 1474
| Malacateco | Draw | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 32% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malacateco | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malacateco 3–0–3 Coban Imperial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 24/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Malacateco |
| 15/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malacateco |
| 13/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 03/05/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Malacateco |
| 01/05/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Coban Imperial |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aurora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guastatoya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malacateco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marquense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Suchitepequez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Comunicaciones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Xelaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo San Pedro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malacateco | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| CD Achuapa | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Xelaju | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guastatoya | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Aurora | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Mictlán | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 29/03 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/03 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/03 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 12/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 12 | D |
| 06/04 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malacateco win (51%). Probabilities: Malacateco 51%, draw 29%, Coban Imperial 20%.
How many goals are expected in Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Malacateco 1.28 · Coban Imperial 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.