Prediction: Aurora vs Guastatoya
- Aurora0-1Guastatoya
- Guastatoya2-2Aurora
- Guastatoya3-2Aurora
| Aurora | Draw | Guastatoya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guastatoya (rating 1430 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Guastatoya: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aurora | Guastatoya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 6 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora 1–1–2 Guastatoya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
| 29/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Aurora |
| 29/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Aurora |
| 20/07/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aurora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guastatoya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malacateco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marquense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Suchitepequez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Comunicaciones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Xelaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo San Pedro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aurora | Guastatoya |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Coban Imperial | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Achuapa | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Malacateco | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CSD Municipal | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guastatoya (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/03 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/03 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/03 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
Guastatoya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 07/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/03 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora vs Guastatoya?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aurora win (37%). Probabilities: Aurora 37%, draw 30%, Guastatoya 33%.
How many goals are expected in Aurora vs Guastatoya?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Aurora 1.13 · Guastatoya 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aurora vs Guastatoya?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.