Football · Spain Segunda · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Oviedo vs Leganes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Oviedo1.29
Leganes0.63
1X2
Oviedo
Draw
Leganes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Oviedo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Leganes
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oviedo
3–2–1
Leganes
(6 last)
- Leganes0-0Oviedo
- Oviedo1-2Leganes
- Oviedo1-0Leganes
- Leganes0-0Oviedo
- Leganes0-1Oviedo
- Oviedo1-0Leganes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oviedo 1467 · Leganes 1504
| Oviedo | Draw | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 32% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oviedo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oviedo | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oviedo 3–2–1 Leganes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Europe Friendlies | Leganes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Oviedo |
| 09/08/24 Europe Friendlies | Oviedo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Leganes |
| 27/01/24 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leganes |
| 07/10/23 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Oviedo |
| 18/03/23 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Oviedo |
| 21/08/22 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leganes |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Burgos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Leganes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Girona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Granada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Celta Fortuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Albacete | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Eibar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oviedo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Granada Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Le Havre Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Nurnberg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 29/07 | Ponferradina Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo La Coruna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Leganes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Tenerife Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Merida Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Al-Rayyan SC World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Swansea Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Nacional Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/07 | Albacete Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Levante Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oviedo vs Leganes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oviedo win (53%). Probabilities: Oviedo 53%, draw 29%, Leganes 18%.
How many goals are expected in Oviedo vs Leganes?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Oviedo 1.29 · Leganes 0.63), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oviedo vs Leganes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.