Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: FK Nove Zamky vs OK Castkovce

Team pages: FK Nove Zamky · OK Castkovce

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

FK Nove Zamky2.25

OK Castkovce1.18

1X2

61% 21% 18%

FK Nove Zamky Draw OK Castkovce

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Nove Zamky 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLDWL

OK Castkovce 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWLLLW

Head-to-head

FK Nove Zamky 3–3 OK Castkovce (6 last)

FK Nove Zamky2-1OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce4-1FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky2-1OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce0-2FK Nove Zamky
OK Castkovce4-0FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky1-5OK Castkovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Nove Zamky 1499 · OK Castkovce 1480

	FK Nove Zamky	Draw	OK Castkovce
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Nove Zamky	OK Castkovce
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +5’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Nove Zamky 3–0–3 OK Castkovce

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	2-1 HT 1-0	OK Castkovce
25/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	4-1 HT 3-0	FK Nove Zamky
26/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	2-1 HT 1-1	OK Castkovce
31/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Nove Zamky
29/04/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	4-0 HT 1-0	FK Nove Zamky
26/10/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	1-5 HT 0-1	OK Castkovce

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	11	10	1	0	40	9	31
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	11	6	3	2	15	9	21
3	Puchov	11	5	4	2	19	8	19
4	TJ Kovo Belusa	12	4	6	2	24	18	18
5	Spartak Myjava	11	5	3	3	20	14	18
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
7	FC Banik Prievidza	11	5	1	5	19	18	16
8	FK Nove Zamky	11	4	3	4	13	18	15
9	Dunajska Streda B	11	4	2	5	21	18	14
10	AS Trencin B	11	4	2	5	23	22	14
11	KFC Komarno B	11	4	2	5	14	23	14
12	MSK Senec	12	4	1	7	12	22	13
13	OK Castkovce	11	3	2	6	18	25	11
14	Raca Bratislava	11	2	4	5	13	24	10
15	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	11	2	3	6	15	29	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	11	1	3	7	8	19	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Nove Zamky	OK Castkovce
FC Nitra	1-5 L	2-3 L
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	1-3 L	1-0 W
Spartak Myjava	2-1 W	0-5 L
Puchov	1-0 W	1-2 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	1-1 D	0-1 L
KFC Komarno B	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Nove Zamky (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Nove Zamky

WDWWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
10/10	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-5	6	5	L
19/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
29/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

OK Castkovce

LLWDDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/10	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	4	5	L
03/10	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
26/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
19/09	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
13/09	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	7	3	D
05/09	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
29/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
22/08	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Nove Zamky vs OK Castkovce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Nove Zamky win (61%). Probabilities: FK Nove Zamky 61%, draw 21%, OK Castkovce 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Nove Zamky vs OK Castkovce?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FK Nove Zamky 2.25 · OK Castkovce 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Nove Zamky vs OK Castkovce?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.