Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 25/10, 10:30

Prediction: AS Trencin B vs MSK Senec

Team pages: AS Trencin B · MSK Senec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

AS Trencin B2.13

MSK Senec1.15

1X2

59% 22% 19%

AS Trencin B Draw MSK Senec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Trencin B 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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MSK Senec 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AS Trencin B 0–1–1 MSK Senec (2 last)

AS Trencin B1-1MSK Senec
MSK Senec3-0AS Trencin B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Trencin B 1476 · MSK Senec 1439

	AS Trencin B	Draw	MSK Senec
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Trencin B	MSK Senec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	5.6 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +7’	1.53	4.10	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Trencin B 0–1–1 MSK Senec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	AS Trencin B	1-1 HT 0-1	MSK Senec
19/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Senec	3-0 HT 0-0	AS Trencin B

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	11	10	1	0	40	9	31
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	11	6	3	2	15	9	21
3	Puchov	11	5	4	2	19	8	19
4	TJ Kovo Belusa	12	4	6	2	24	18	18
5	Spartak Myjava	11	5	3	3	20	14	18
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
7	FC Banik Prievidza	11	5	1	5	19	18	16
8	FK Nove Zamky	11	4	3	4	13	18	15
9	Dunajska Streda B	11	4	2	5	21	18	14
10	AS Trencin B	11	4	2	5	23	22	14
11	KFC Komarno B	11	4	2	5	14	23	14
12	MSK Senec	12	4	1	7	12	22	13
13	OK Castkovce	11	3	2	6	18	25	11
14	Raca Bratislava	11	2	4	5	13	24	10
15	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	11	2	3	6	15	29	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	11	1	3	7	8	19	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Trencin B	MSK Senec
TJ Kovo Belusa	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Nove Zamky	5-2 W	1-0 W
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	5-1 W	1-3 L
Spartak Myjava	0-2 L	0-1 L
Puchov	0-3 L	0-5 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	0-1 L	1-0 W
KFC Komarno B	1-1 D	1-2 L
Raca Bratislava	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: AS Trencin B (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Trencin B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
11/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
04/10	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	5-2	2	5	W
20/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	5-1	5-1	4	0	W
11/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	8	4	L
29/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
22/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
16/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W

MSK Senec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	9	D
16/10	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
10/10	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
02/10	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
26/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
18/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
13/09	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
04/09	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
29/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
21/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Trencin B vs MSK Senec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Trencin B win (59%). Probabilities: AS Trencin B 59%, draw 22%, MSK Senec 19%.

How many goals are expected in AS Trencin B vs MSK Senec?

The model expects 3.29 goals (AS Trencin B 2.13 · MSK Senec 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Trencin B vs MSK Senec?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.