Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: FK Nove Zamky vs Raca Bratislava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
FK Nove Zamky2.22
Raca Bratislava1.12
1X2
FK Nove Zamky
Draw
Raca Bratislava
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Nove Zamky
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Raca Bratislava
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Nove Zamky
3–1
Raca Bratislava
(4 last)
- Raca Bratislava0-1FK Nove Zamky
- FK Nove Zamky3-2Raca Bratislava
- FK Nove Zamky1-0Raca Bratislava
- Raca Bratislava2-0FK Nove Zamky
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Nove Zamky 1575 · Raca Bratislava 1508
| FK Nove Zamky | Draw | Raca Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Nove Zamky (rating 1575 vs 1508).
- H2H favours FK Nove Zamky: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Nove Zamky | Raca Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 3.7 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Nove Zamky 3–0–1 Raca Bratislava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga | Raca Bratislava | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Nove Zamky |
| 30/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga | FK Nove Zamky | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Raca Bratislava |
| 05/04/25 Slovakia 3. Liga | FK Nove Zamky | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Raca Bratislava |
| 24/11/24 Slovakia 3. Liga | Raca Bratislava | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Nove Zamky |
Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | MSK Senec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | AS Trencin B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Banik Prievidza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Nitra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | TJ Kovo Belusa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Dunajska Streda B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Raca Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Slovan Duslo Šala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FK Nove Zamky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | KFC Komarno B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puchov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | SK 1923 Gabcikovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | OK Castkovce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | OFK Dunajska Luzna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Nove Zamky | Raca Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| KFC Komarno B | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| AS Trencin B | 3-2 W | 2-8 L |
| OK Castkovce | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Slovan Galanta | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Nove Zamky (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Nove Zamky
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | SK Surany Slovakia Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Raca Bratislava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | SK Lozorno Slovakia Cup |
4-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-3 | 2-8 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Nove Zamky vs Raca Bratislava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Nove Zamky win (62%). Probabilities: FK Nove Zamky 62%, draw 21%, Raca Bratislava 18%.
How many goals are expected in FK Nove Zamky vs Raca Bratislava?
The model expects 3.34 goals (FK Nove Zamky 2.22 · Raca Bratislava 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Nove Zamky vs Raca Bratislava?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.