Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 04/09, 18:30

Prediction: MSK Senec vs Raca Bratislava

Team pages: MSK Senec · Raca Bratislava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

MSK Senec1.78

Raca Bratislava1.27

1X2

48% 25% 27%

MSK Senec Draw Raca Bratislava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Senec 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWWWLL

Raca Bratislava 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDDLLL

Head-to-head

MSK Senec 1–4 Raca Bratislava (5 last)

MSK Senec0-1Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava0-2MSK Senec
Raca Bratislava4-2MSK Senec
MSK Senec4-5Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava7-1MSK Senec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Senec 1494 · Raca Bratislava 1505

	MSK Senec	Draw	Raca Bratislava
Our model	48%	25%	26%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Raca Bratislava: 4-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Senec	Raca Bratislava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	2.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.90 ★
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	3.90 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +2’	1.67	3.80	3.90
21:05 +7’	1.83▲	3.70▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:17	1.93	3.38	3.22
13:25	1.90▼	3.43▲	3.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Senec 1–0–4 Raca Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Senec	0-1 HT 0-0	Raca Bratislava
02/11/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	0-2 HT 0-1	MSK Senec
15/05/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	4-2 HT 2-1	MSK Senec
08/10/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Senec	4-5 HT 2-3	Raca Bratislava
16/08/20 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	7-1 HT 4-0	MSK Senec

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Kovo Belusa	4	4	0	0	15	5	12
2	FC Nitra	4	3	1	0	10	3	10
3	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
4	FK Nove Zamky	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
5	OFK Dunajska Luzna	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	AS Trencin B	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
7	Dunajska Streda B	4	2	0	2	10	8	6
8	MSK Senec	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
9	Puchov	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	Spartak Myjava	4	1	2	1	7	9	5
11	FC Banik Prievidza	4	1	0	3	5	8	3
12	Slovan Duslo Šala	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
13	OK Castkovce	4	1	0	3	9	11	3
14	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
15	KFC Komarno B	4	0	2	2	4	11	2
16	Raca Bratislava	4	0	1	3	6	10	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Senec	Raca Bratislava
Dunajska Streda B	0-2 L	5-0 W
FC Banik Prievidza	2-1 W	1-1 D
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Petrzalka B	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Senec (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Senec

DWDLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L
21/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
15/08	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
06/06	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
23/05	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
15/05	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
09/05	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Raca Bratislava

LDWDWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
23/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
08/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	11	D
06/06	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	3	D
30/05	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
24/05	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
17/05	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
10/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	15	2	D
01/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	2-8	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Senec vs Raca Bratislava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Senec win (48%). Probabilities: MSK Senec 48%, draw 25%, Raca Bratislava 27%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Senec vs Raca Bratislava?

The model expects 3.05 goals (MSK Senec 1.78 · Raca Bratislava 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Senec vs Raca Bratislava?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.