Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: TJ Kovo Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

TJ Kovo Belusa1.73

Dunajska Streda B1.21

1X2

49% 25% 26%

TJ Kovo Belusa Draw Dunajska Streda B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Kovo Belusa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWWW

Dunajska Streda B 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLDWD

Head-to-head

TJ Kovo Belusa 0–1–1 Dunajska Streda B (2 last)

TJ Kovo Belusa0-0Dunajska Streda B
Dunajska Streda B4-0TJ Kovo Belusa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Kovo Belusa 1566 · Dunajska Streda B 1498

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Draw	Dunajska Streda B
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Kovo Belusa (rating 1566 vs 1498).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Dunajska Streda B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.3	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:31 +30’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Kovo Belusa 0–1–1 Dunajska Streda B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	0-0 HT 0-0	Dunajska Streda B
10/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dunajska Streda B	4-0 HT 3-0	TJ Kovo Belusa

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spartak Myjava	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	MSK Senec	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	AS Trencin B	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	FC Banik Prievidza	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	FC Nitra	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	TJ Kovo Belusa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Dunajska Streda B	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Raca Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Slovan Duslo Šala	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	FK Nove Zamky	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	KFC Komarno B	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Puchov	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	OK Castkovce	1	0	1	2	3	0
16	OFK Dunajska Luzna	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Kovo Belusa	Dunajska Streda B
AS Trencin B	1-0 W	0-3 L
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	1-1 D	4-0 W
Spartak Myjava	1-3 L	1-1 D
Slovan Duslo Šala	4-0 W	1-0 W
FC Malacky	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Kovo Belusa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TJ Kovo Belusa

WWLWDLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SK LR Crystal Slovakia Cup	3-1	4-2	7	2	W
06/06	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/05	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
03/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	6	W
24/04	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	4	4	L
19/04	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
11/04	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	4	W

Dunajska Streda B

LWWDDLLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
09/05	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
26/04	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
19/04	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
12/04	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
01/04	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Kovo Belusa win (49%). Probabilities: TJ Kovo Belusa 49%, draw 25%, Dunajska Streda B 26%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B?

The model expects 2.94 goals (TJ Kovo Belusa 1.73 · Dunajska Streda B 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.