Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Guairena FC
Expected goals: 2.33 (Encarnacion FC 1.15 · Guairena FC 1.18). The model gives 35% home, 29% draw, 36% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Encarnacion FC with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Guairena FC has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Encarnacion FC and 1 for Guairena FC.
| Encarnacion FC | Draw | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guairena FC (rating 1441 vs 1516).
- H2H favours Encarnacion FC: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Encarnacion FC | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.8 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 3–0–1 Guairena FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Encarnacion FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Guairena FC |
| 12/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Guairena FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Encarnacion FC |
| 10/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Guairena FC | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Encarnacion FC |
| 07/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Encarnacion FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Guairena FC |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Capiata | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Santaní | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Independiente FBC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Guairena FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Encarnacion FC | Guairena FC |
|---|---|---|
| Resistencia FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sol de America | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Capiata | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Independiente FBC | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Tacuary | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Paraguari AC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Guairena FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Encarnacion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/06 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 18/04 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Guairena FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/06 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 26/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Guairena FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guairena FC win (36%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 35%, draw 29%, Guairena FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Guairena FC?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.15 · Guairena FC 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Guairena FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.