Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 09/10, 14:30

Prediction: FC Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Team pages: FC Veres Rivne · Shakhtar Donetsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

FC Veres Rivne0.54

Shakhtar Donetsk1.93

1X2

9% 21% 70%

FC Veres Rivne Draw Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 16%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Veres Rivne 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWDDW

Shakhtar Donetsk 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

FC Veres Rivne 0–1–5 Shakhtar Donetsk (6 last)

Shakhtar Donetsk1-0FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne0-2Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk3-0FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne1-1Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk2-0FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne0-3Shakhtar Donetsk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Veres Rivne 1490 · Shakhtar Donetsk 1594

	FC Veres Rivne	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
Our model	9%	22%	70%
Market	9%	20%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shakhtar Donetsk (rating 1490 vs 1594).
H2H favours Shakhtar Donetsk: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Veres Rivne	Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

19.50

X4.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 9.50	Pinn 10.81
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.37 ★
2	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +11’	9.50	4.50	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +45’	10.81	5.37	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Veres Rivne 0–1–5 Shakhtar Donetsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Veres Rivne
17/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	0-2 HT 0-1	Shakhtar Donetsk
06/04/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Shakhtar Donetsk	3-0 HT 0-0	FC Veres Rivne
27/09/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	1-1 HT 0-0	Shakhtar Donetsk
08/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Shakhtar Donetsk	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Veres Rivne
26/09/23 Ukraine Cup	FC Veres Rivne	0-3 HT 0-0	Shakhtar Donetsk

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15	5	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15	4	18
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15	5	14
4	Dynamo Kiev	6	4	1	1	9	5	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12	4	12
6	FC Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	6	6	9
7	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
8	LNZ Lebedyn	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
9	FC Zorya Lugansk	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
10	FC Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	4	3	7
11	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	7	1	4	2	4	6	7
12	Chernomorets Odessa	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
14	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	Obolon Kyiv	7	0	4	3	2	12	4
16	FC Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	5	18	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Veres Rivne	Shakhtar Donetsk
FC Kudrivka	2-1 W	5-1 W
Karpaty Lviv	1-1 D	2-1 W
LNZ Lebedyn	1-0 W	3-0 W
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Kharkiv	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shakhtar Donetsk (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Veres Rivne

LLLLLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
20/09	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
06/09	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
14/08	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
01/08	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
24/05	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	5	11	L
17/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
12/05	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-3	6	2	L

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/09	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/09	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
29/08	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
16/08	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
09/08	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/08	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	5-1	5	3	W
21/05	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
17/05	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	3-2	0	0	W
13/05	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shakhtar Donetsk win (70%). Probabilities: FC Veres Rivne 9%, draw 21%, Shakhtar Donetsk 70%.

How many goals are expected in FC Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model expects 2.48 goals (FC Veres Rivne 0.54 · Shakhtar Donetsk 1.93), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.