Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Capiata

Expected goals: 2.62 (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.38 · Deportivo Capiata 1.24). The model gives 39% home, 28% draw, 33% away. Over 2.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportivo Capiata 4-4-2 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Club Dr Benjamin Aceval and 0 for Deportivo Capiata.

39%1
39% 28% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1565 · Deportivo Capiata 1523
Club Dr Benjamin AcevalDrawDeportivo Capiata
Our model39%29%32%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.38 · Deportivo Capiata 1.24
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (rating 1565 vs 1523).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club Dr Benjamin AcevalDeportivo Capiata
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.11.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.12.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.54.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 100 Deportivo Capiata

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/09/24
Paraguay Tercera Division
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval2-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 12822 221126
2 General Caballero JLM 13733 292024
3 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 12732 17924
4 Deportivo Santaní 13634 141121
5 Deportivo Capiata 12552 191420
6 Sol de America 12552 151020
7 Independiente FBC 12534 171518
8 Guairena FC 12534 141518
9 Club Atlético Tembetary 12525 181717
10 Resistencia FC 12453 131417
11 Carapegua 12426 142414
12 Fernando de la Mora 13427 132014
13 Tacuary 13265 172112
14 Paraguari AC 13238 10169
15 Encarnacion FC 12228 12198
16 3 de Noviembre 13076 12207

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub Dr Benjamin AcevalDeportivo Capiata
Carapegua 2-0 W 5-2 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 2-1 W 1-1 D
Encarnacion FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Deportivo Santaní 2-0 W 0-1 L
Fernando de la Mora 0-1 L 2-1 W
3 de Noviembre 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

DLWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Independiente FBC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 2-1 12 W
06/06 Tacuary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 3-2 87 W
30/05 Club Atlético Tembetary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-2 3-4 108 L
25/05 Paraguari AC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 2-1 35 W
21/05 Carapegua
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-0 22 W
16/05 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 2-1 27 W
10/05 Encarnacion FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 1-0 46 W
05/05 Deportivo Santaní
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-0 29 W
26/04 Fernando de la Mora
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-1 78 L
19/04 3 de Noviembre
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 1-1 26 D

Deportivo Capiata

DDLWDWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Carapegua
Paraguay Division Intermedia
2-1 5-2 52 W
07/06 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 1-1 35 D
31/05 Encarnacion FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 1-0 68 W
23/05 Deportivo Santaní
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-1 44 L
19/05 Fernando de la Mora
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 2-1 65 W
14/05 3 de Noviembre
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-0 55 D
10/05 General Caballero JLM
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 2-1 58 W
01/05 Guairena FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 1-3 95 L
25/04 Resistencia FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 1-1 63 D
18/04 Sol de America
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 1-1 46 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Capiata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (39%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Capiata 33%.

How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.38 · Deportivo Capiata 1.24), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.