Prediction: Carapegua vs Sol de America
Expected goals: 2.78 (Carapegua 1.21 · Sol de America 1.58). The model gives 28% home, 27% draw, 45% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Carapegua is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sol de America 5-4-1 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Carapegua and 2 for Sol de America, with 1 draw.
| Carapegua | Draw | Sol de America | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1453 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Sol de America: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carapegua | Sol de America | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carapegua 1–1–2 Sol de America
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Carapegua | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Sol de America |
| 21/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sol de America | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Carapegua |
| 23/07/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Carapegua | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America |
| 16/04/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sol de America | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Carapegua |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Capiata | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Santaní | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Independiente FBC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Guairena FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carapegua | Sol de America |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Capiata | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Paraguari AC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Encarnacion FC | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Santaní | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fernando de la Mora | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sol de America (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carapegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
Sol de America
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carapegua vs Sol de America?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sol de America win (45%). Probabilities: Carapegua 28%, draw 27%, Sol de America 45%.
How many goals are expected in Carapegua vs Sol de America?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Carapegua 1.21 · Sol de America 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Carapegua vs Sol de America?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.