Football · Austria 2. Liga · 12/09, 15:30

Prediction: SV Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II

Team pages: SV Austria Salzburg · Sturm Graz II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
SV Austria Salzburg2.15
Sturm Graz II1.38
1X2
54% 23% 23%
SV Austria Salzburg Draw Sturm Graz II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Austria Salzburg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWWLWL
Sturm Graz II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLWLLW
Head-to-head
SV Austria Salzburg 1–1 Sturm Graz II (2 last)
  • Sturm Graz II0-2SV Austria Salzburg
  • SV Austria Salzburg1-2Sturm Graz II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Austria Salzburg 1546 · Sturm Graz II 1412
SV Austria SalzburgDrawSturm Graz II
Our model54%22%23%
Market54%23%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Austria Salzburg (rating 1546 vs 1412).
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SV Austria SalzburgSturm Graz II
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 11.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 5.62.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.34.1 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Austria Salzburg 101 Sturm Graz II

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Austria 2. Liga
Sturm Graz II0-2
HT 0-1
SV Austria Salzburg
08/11/25
Austria 2. Liga
SV Austria Salzburg1-2
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz II

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Blau Weiss Linz 5401 13312
2 FC Liefering 5311 13810
3 First Vienna FC 1894 5311 9610
4 Floridsdorfer AC 5311 9610
5 FK Austria Vienna II 5302 769
6 FC Wacker Innsbruck 5302 759
7 SV Austria Salzburg 5302 1079
8 SW Bregenz 5212 6107
9 Sturm Graz II 5203 10136
10 SKU Amstetten 5131 666
11 Admira Wacker 5203 656
12 Rapid Vienna II 5203 6116
13 ASK Voitsberg 5122 7105
14 Hertha Wels 5113 6104
15 St Polten 5104 143
16 SV Kapfenberg 5104 6123

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSV Austria SalzburgSturm Graz II
First Vienna FC 1894 4-1 W 0-4 L
Hertha Wels 2-0 W 0-2 L
Admira Wacker 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Austria Salzburg (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Austria Salzburg

DDWWDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 St Polten
Austria 2. Liga
0-0 0-1 116 L
21/08 SV Kapfenberg
Austria 2. Liga
2-1 3-2 57 W
15/08 FK Austria Vienna II
Austria 2. Liga
0-3 1-3 47 L
08/08 First Vienna FC 1894
Austria 2. Liga
1-1 4-1 77 W
02/08 Hertha Wels
Austria 2. Liga
0-0 2-0 47 W
08/05 Austria Lustenau
Austria 2. Liga
2-0 2-2 77 D
02/05 Sturm Graz II
Austria 2. Liga
1-0 2-0 46 W
25/04 SV Kapfenberg
Austria 2. Liga
1-0 1-0 23 W
17/04 FK Austria Vienna II
Austria 2. Liga
0-1 1-1 86 D
11/04 Admira Wacker
Austria 2. Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D

Sturm Graz II

DLLLLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Rapid Vienna II
Austria 2. Liga
2-1 5-2 76 W
22/08 SW Bregenz
Austria 2. Liga
1-2 1-3 04 L
15/08 Admira Wacker
Austria 2. Liga
0-1 0-2 95 L
08/08 Floridsdorfer AC
Austria 2. Liga
2-2 4-2 32 W
01/08 First Vienna FC 1894
Austria 2. Liga
0-2 0-4 41 L
14/05 Rapid Vienna II
Austria 2. Liga
0-1 1-2 96 L
08/05 Hertha Wels
Austria 2. Liga
0-2 0-2 75 L
02/05 SV Austria Salzburg
Austria 2. Liga
0-1 0-2 56 L
26/04 Admira Wacker
Austria 2. Liga
1-1 1-2 106 L
18/04 Austria Klagenfurt
Austria 2. Liga
1-0 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Austria Salzburg win (54%). Probabilities: SV Austria Salzburg 54%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 23%.

How many goals are expected in SV Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?

The model expects 3.52 goals (SV Austria Salzburg 2.15 · Sturm Graz II 1.38), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.